Tips for match Sassuolo — Genoa, 03.11.2025

Match Analysis: Sassuolo vs Genoa

The match between Sassuolo and Genoa will take place on November 3rd in Serie A. The odds for a Sassuolo win are set at 2.40, a draw at 3.00, and a Genoa victory at 3.25. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Sassuolo - 39.39%, draw - 31.52%, Genoa - 29.09%. These figures suggest that Sassuolo is the slight favorite to win, but the difference between the teams is not significant, indicating a potentially tight contest.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at the last five matches, Sassuolo shows average ball possession (46%), receives 2.4 yellow cards per game, commits 13 fouls, and is caught offside 2.2 times. Genoa has slightly better ball control (51.8%), receives 3 yellow cards, commits 16.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. In their last three matches, Sassuolo played: 30.10 - Cagliari - Sassuolo 1-2, 26.10 - Sassuolo - Roma 0-1, 18.10 - Lecce - Sassuolo 0-0. Genoa's recent matches were: 29.10 - Genoa - Cremonese 0-2, 26.10 - Torino - Genoa 2-1, 19.10 - Genoa - Parma 0-0. Their head-to-head on 12.05.2024 ended with Genoa winning 2-1, with the over 2.5 goals market hitting. Matches between these teams often see goals, although their current form doesn't guarantee high scoring.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Sassuolo averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while Genoa averages 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The over 2.5 goals market hit in 2 out of 5 for Sassuolo and 3 out of 5 for Genoa. In the first half, the over 1.5 goals market was hit only once for both teams in five games, and twice in the second half. The average total goals for Sassuolo is 1.8, and for Genoa, it's 2.2. By intervals: Sassuolo scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (50%), while Genoa scores in the second half (40% between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes). Sassuolo concedes most often between the 46-75 minutes (40% in each of the two segments), while Genoa concedes early (0-15 minutes, 43%). Given these stats, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical - Sassuolo is stable in defense, Genoa scores few goals, and the frequency of under 2.5 goals for both teams matches the over rate.

Corners in the Match

Regarding corners, Sassuolo averages 4 per game over a five-match series, and Genoa averages 4.4. The over 9.5 corners market hit in 3 out of 5 for both teams. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.10, and under 9.5 is 1.67. Sassuolo is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.80. Comparing frequencies, a bet on over 9.5 corners looks justified - in 6 out of the last 10 matches for both teams, this mark was exceeded. Additionally, note Sassuolo's discipline with offsides - 2.2 per game, while Genoa has 1.6. Overall, based on corner statistics and the frequency of hitting higher totals, the over 9.5 corners option seems promising.