Prediction for match Braga — Benfica, 28.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga on December 28, Braga will face Benfica. Benfica is the favorite according to the odds, with a win priced at 2.24, a draw at 3.37, and a Braga victory at 3.48. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Braga win 27.88%, draw 28.79%, Benfica win 43.32%. These figures reflect Benfica's advantage in the bookmakers' expectations, but a draw is also a possibility, as indicated by the close percentages for a draw and a Braga win.

Team Results and Statistics

Braga has an average possession of 67.8% over the last 5 matches, while Benfica has 49.4%. Braga averages 1.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1 offside per game, compared to Benfica's 1 yellow card, 12.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Braga played as follows: 19.12.2025 Estoril - Braga 1-0, 15.12.2025 Braga - Santa Clara 1-0, 11.12.2025 Nice - Braga 0-1. During the same period, Benfica's results were: 22.12.2025 Benfica - Famalicão 1-0, 17.12.2025 Farense - Benfica 0-2, 14.12.2025 Moreirense - Benfica 0-4. The last head-to-head encounter was on 17.05.2025, Braga - Benfica 1-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Braga - Benfica Match

Over the last five matches, Braga has an average total goals of 2.0, while Benfica has 2.2. In terms of goals scored, Braga averages 1.6 and Benfica 2.0, with goals conceded at 0.4 versus 0.2. Braga had over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, under in 3, while Benfica had over 2.5 goals just once and under 4 times. In the first halves, both teams had 2 instances of over 1.5 goals, while in the second halves, Braga had none and Benfica had 1. Braga most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (100%), while Benfica scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%). In terms of goals conceded, Braga concedes 50% between the 16th and 30th minutes, and Benfica concedes 25% between the 0-15 and 46-60 minutes. All this points to a cautious style where both teams defend well and scoring doesn't exceed two goals per game. In such conditions, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.79 seems justified: both teams rarely play high-scoring games, and their defenses are solid.

Betting on Corners

Braga averages 5.6 corners per match, while Benfica averages 4.8. In 5 games, Braga had over 9.5 corners 3 times, and Benfica just once. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.05, and under 9.5 is 1.67. For the outcome on corners, Benfica is favored at 1.99. Together, the teams average around 10.4 corners per game, which is close to the line of 9.5. Considering Braga's metrics and the overall activity level in this component, it makes sense to consider betting on over 9.5 corners.