Prediction for match Braga — Vitoria Guimaraes

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Primeira Liga on February 21, Braga will face Vitoria Guimaraes. The odds for Braga to win are 1.63, a draw is 4.16, and a victory for Vitoria Guimaraes is 5.61. According to the probability percentages, Braga has a 59.44% chance of winning, a draw is rated at 23.29%, and the likelihood of a Vitoria Guimaraes win is 17.27%. Braga appears to be the favorite based on both the odds and outcome probabilities. The betting line also includes options for totals, both teams to score, and individual totals, allowing for several prediction directions. Bookmakers lean towards a high-scoring game, as reflected in the odds for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Braga lost 1-2 to Gil Vicente on February 14, confidently defeated Rio Ave 3-0 on February 8, and thrashed ABC 4-0 on February 2. Vitoria Guimaraes defeated Estrela 2-1 on February 14, lost 2-3 to Arouca on February 7, and overcame Moreirense 1-0 on January 30. Over the last five matches, Braga has an average possession of 60%, with 1.2 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Vitoria Guimaraes averages 48.2% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 17 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head encounter on September 20, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Braga scores an average of 2.6 goals per game and concedes 0.4, with a total goal average of 3. Vitoria Guimaraes averages 1.4 goals scored, 1.8 conceded, with a total average of 3.2. Braga has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Vitoria Guimaraes has seen it in 3 out of 5. The first half over 1.5 goals occurred twice for both teams, and in the second half, it happened three times. Braga most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (30% each), while Vitoria Guimaraes scores most often between the 61st-75th minutes (50%). Braga concedes most frequently in the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each), while Vitoria Guimaraes concedes most in the 16th-30th minutes (57%). All this indicates a high level of scoring from both teams, especially in the second half. Considering Braga's 4 out of 5 and Vitoria Guimaraes' 3 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals, along with average total goals above 3, betting on over 2.5 goals seems logical. The odds for this event are 1.92.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Braga averages 5.8 corners per game over their last five matches, while Vitoria Guimaraes averages 5.6. Both teams have seen over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches. The total closest to the average (11.4) is the 11.5 line. The odds for over 11.5 corners are 3.15, and for under 11.5 corners, it's 1.29. For corner outcomes, Braga is favored with odds of 1.30. Statistically, both teams can maintain a high pace in corners, but the frequency of high totals is not maximal. It's optimal to consider moderate totals or Braga's victory in corner count.