Prediction for match Freiburg — 1.FC Köln

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and 1.FC Köln, the focus is on the odds for a Freiburg win at 1.96, a draw at 3.81, and a win for Köln at 4.12. The probabilities are as follows: Freiburg - 50.25%, draw - 25.85%, Köln - 23.90%. This suggests a slight advantage for Freiburg in the eyes of analysts, though a draw is also a possibility. The match is scheduled for January 25, 2026, with both teams coming into it on different recent form trajectories.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Freiburg averages 50.8% possession, commits 12 fouls, receives 2 yellow cards, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Over the same period, Köln holds 47.2% possession, records 6.2 fouls, 1.6 yellow cards, and 1.2 offsides. Freiburg's last three results: January 22, 2026 - Freiburg 1-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv, January 18, 2026 - Augsburg 2-2 Freiburg, January 14, 2026 - RB Leipzig 2-0 Freiburg. Köln's last three games: January 17, 2026 - Köln 2-1 Mainz 05, January 14, 2026 - Köln 1-3 Bayern Munich, January 10, 2026 - Heidenheim 2-2 Köln. In their last head-to-head on August 31, 2025, Köln defeated Freiburg 4-1.

Goals Statistics

Both Freiburg and Köln have a tendency for high-scoring games: in their last five matches, both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games. Freiburg's matches average 3.4 goals, while Köln's average 2.8. Freiburg scores 1.8 goals per game, Köln 1, with Freiburg conceding 1.6 and Köln 1.8. In the second half, Freiburg has seen over 1.5 goals 4 times out of 5, and Köln 3 out of 5. In the first half, Freiburg has seen over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5 matches, Köln in 2 out of 5. Freiburg most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (60%), while Köln scores most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (29%). Conceding-wise, Freiburg often lets in goals between the 46th and 60th minutes (43%), and Köln between the 16th and 30th and 76th and 90th minutes (29% each). Overall, both teams show a strong goal-scoring profile, particularly in the second half, making a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.87 seem logical.

Corner Statistics

Freiburg averages 3.8 corners over their last 5 matches, and Köln averages 4.6, totaling 8.4. For over 9.5 corners: Freiburg has exceeded this total once in 5 matches, while Köln has done so 3 times. The line closest to the average total is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is at 1.50, under 8.5 at 2.42. Freiburg is favored in corners with odds of 1.57. Given that neither team shows exceptionally high corner numbers, a bet on total corners closer to 8-9 seems justified, and Köln's slight edge in deliveries might add intrigue to the corner battle.