Prediction for match Freiburg — Bayern

Match Analysis: Freiburg vs Bayern

In the Bundesliga clash on April 4th, Freiburg will face Bayern. The odds clearly favor Bayern as the favorites: their win is priced at 1.43, a draw at 5.64, and a Freiburg win at 7.11. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Freiburg - 13.83%, draw - 17.43%, Bayern - 68.74%. This setup reflects confidence in Bayern's strength, but Freiburg has the potential to surprise, especially considering their recent scoring form. The odds also suggest a high-scoring game with potential for both teams to score.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Freiburg's results were: 22.03.2026 St. Pauli - Freiburg 1-2, 19.03.2026 Freiburg - Genk 5-1, 15.03.2026 Freiburg - Union Berlin 0-1. Bayern's last three games showed the following results: 21.03.2026 Bayern - Union Berlin 4-0, 18.03.2026 Bayern - Atalanta 4-1, 14.03.2026 Bayer - Bayern 1-1. Looking at the averages over five matches, Freiburg has 53.4% ball possession, 2 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Bayern averages 68.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. The last head-to-head match was on 22.11.2025: Bayern - Freiburg 6-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Freiburg averages a total of 3.4 goals over their last five games, scoring 2 and conceding 1.4. Bayern's figures are even higher, with an average of 4.6 goals per game, scoring 3.8 and conceding 0.8. Freiburg has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, while Bayern has in 4 out of 5. In the first half, Freiburg had over 1.5 goals twice, and Bayern three times. In the second half, Freiburg saw over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, and Bayern in 4 out of 5. Freiburg most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (40%), while they concede most between the 31st and 45th minute (43%). Bayern scores most often between the 31st and 45th and 46th and 60th minutes (29% each), while conceding most between the 61st and 75th minute (33%). Given both teams' high scoring rates, frequent overs, and second-half activity, betting on over 3.0 goals seems logical. The odds for this are 1.53.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Freiburg averages 4.6 corners per match, while Bayern averages 6.4. Over the last five games, the total over 9.5 corners occurred only once for each team. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.91, and under 9.5 is 1.83. Bayern is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.29. Considering both teams' average corner activity, betting on over 9.5 corners seems reasonable, but the frequency is not very high. Individual corner totals for Bayern could also be considered, given their average of 6.4 per game.