Prediction for match Freiburg — Borussia Dortmund, 14.12.2025

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

On December 14th, Freiburg will face Borussia Dortmund in a Bundesliga match. The odds for a Borussia Dortmund win are 2.25, a Freiburg victory is priced at 3.44, and a draw stands at 3.58. In terms of probability, Borussia Dortmund's win is estimated at 43.81%, Freiburg's at 28.66%, and a draw at 27.53%. Borussia Dortmund is favored according to both the odds and probabilities, reflecting higher expectations for this team in the upcoming match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Freiburg has an average ball possession of 59.6%, receives 1 yellow card, commits 9.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Borussia Dortmund, over the same period, has 53.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. Freiburg's last three matches: 12.11.2025 - Freiburg vs. Red Bull Salzburg - 1-0, 12.06.2025 - Heidenheim vs. Freiburg - 2-1, 12.03.2025 - Freiburg vs. Darmstadt - 2-0. Borussia Dortmund's matches: 12.10.2025 - Borussia Dortmund vs. Bodø/Glimt - 2-2, 12.07.2025 - Borussia Dortmund vs. Hoffenheim - 2-0, 12.02.2025 - Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayer - 0-1. In their last head-to-head on 04.05.2025, Freiburg lost to Borussia Dortmund 1-4.

Goal Scoring Trends

Over the last five matches, Freiburg averages 2 goals per match, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.4 goals per game. Borussia Dortmund averages 2.8 goals, scoring 2 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals: Freiburg has 2 out of 5, Borussia Dortmund 3 out of 5. By halves: over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 1 out of 5 times for both teams, and in the second half, 3 out of 5 for each. Freiburg most frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (30% each), while Borussia Dortmund scores most often between the 46th-60th minutes (45%). In terms of goals conceded: Freiburg most frequently concedes between the 31st-45th minutes (100%), Borussia Dortmund in the same interval (60%). Given both teams' high scoring, especially in the second half, and Borussia Dortmund's over 2.5 goals support, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.89 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Freiburg averages 5.6 corners per match, Borussia Dortmund 6.8. In the last five encounters, both teams had over 9.5 corners 4 out of 5 times. Corner total odds: over 9.5 is priced at 2.05, under 9.5 at 1.72. In the corner outcome line, Borussia Dortmund is favored with odds of 2.02. Given the average level and high frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on the over seems justified, especially considering both teams' attacking style and corner statistics.