Prediction for match Freiburg — Hamburger, 10.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hamburger taking place on January 10, 2026, analysts have Freiburg as the favorite. The odds for a Freiburg win are set at 1.84, reflecting a 53.52% chance of success. A draw is priced at 3.78 (26.05%), while a win for Hamburger is at 4.82 (20.43%). This setup indicates that Freiburg is seen as the more stable team currently, but Hamburger is also capable of putting up a fight. There are also high odds on totals, highlighting expectations for a high-scoring game. The odds for both teams to score are: yes - 1.72, no - 2.02, further suggesting a likelihood of both teams finding the net.

Team Results and Statistics

Freiburg has shown a variety of results in their last three matches: they defeated Wolfsburg 4-3 on December 20, 2025, drew 1-1 with Borussia Dortmund on December 14, and beat Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 on December 11. Over the same period, Hamburger played three matches: a 1-1 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt on December 20, a 1-4 loss to Hoffenheim on December 13, and a 3-2 win over Werder on December 7. Their last head-to-head match was on October 30, 2024, when Freiburg defeated Hamburger 2-1. In terms of additional metrics, Freiburg averaged 54.8% possession, committed 9.2 fouls, recorded 2.6 offsides, and received 1.4 yellow cards over five matches. Hamburger, in the same period, had 45.2% possession, 11.2 fouls, 1.2 offsides, and 1.8 yellow cards. These numbers show that Freiburg prefers a more controlling style, while Hamburger plays more aggressively in defense.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Freiburg's five-match series, the average number of goals per match is exactly 3, with the team scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Hamburger's average total is even higher at 3.4, with 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Freiburg has exceeded 2.5 total goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Hamburger has done so in 3 out of 5, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games, especially for Hamburger. By halves, Freiburg has exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half in 1 out of 5 matches, and in the second half in 3 out of 5. Similarly, Hamburger has exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5 matches and in the second half in 3 out of 5. This highlights a tendency for more goals after the break. In terms of goal intervals, Freiburg most frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (30% each), while Hamburger scores most often between the 61st-75th minutes (40%). Freiburg concedes most often between the 31st-45th minutes (33%), and Hamburger in the final stages, from the 76th to the 90th minute (50%). Overall, both teams demonstrate an attacking style, making a bet on over 2.5 total goals at 1.88 reasonable. Support for second halves and intervals also strengthens this choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Freiburg averages 6.2 corners over five matches, Hamburger 4.2, totaling 10.4. Both teams have exceeded 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches. Among the total lines, the 9.5 line is closest to this sum: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.97, under 9.5 at 1.78. In the corners outcome line, Freiburg is favored with odds of 1.44. Given the average activity of both teams and the frequency of exceeding the total, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match. It's also worth noting that Freiburg consistently delivers more set-pieces, which could impact the overall number of corners.