Prediction for match Freiburg — Red Bull Salzburg, 11.12.2025

Match Analysis: Freiburg vs Red Bull Salzburg

On December 11, 2025, Freiburg will face Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League. The odds for Freiburg to win are 1.48, a draw is priced at 5.06, and a victory for Red Bull Salzburg stands at 7.06. Probability-wise: Freiburg - 66.57%, draw - 19.47%, Red Bull Salzburg - 13.96%. Freiburg is the favorite, as reflected in both the percentage distribution and the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Freiburg has shown the following results: a 1-2 loss to Heidenheim on December 6, a 2-0 win over Darmstadt on December 3, and a convincing 4-0 victory against Mainz 05 on November 30. They also had a draw with Viktoria Plzeň (0-0) and a loss to Bayern Munich (2-6). Red Bull Salzburg, in their last five games, defeated BW Linz 2-0, drew with Altach 1-1, lost to Bologna 1-4, were beaten by WSG Tirol 2-3, and drew with Sturm Graz 1-1. Additional stats: Freiburg's average possession over five matches is 53.4%, with 0.6 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Red Bull Salzburg's possession is 58.6%, with 2.2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games. Over the last five matches, Freiburg's average number of goals per game is 3.4, while Red Bull Salzburg's is 3.2. Freiburg scores an average of 1.8 and concedes 1.6, whereas Red Bull Salzburg scores 1.4 and concedes 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: Freiburg has hit over in 3 out of 5, and Red Bull Salzburg in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Freiburg has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5, and Red Bull Salzburg 3 out of 5. In the second half, Freiburg is 4 out of 5 for over 1.5, and Red Bull Salzburg 3 out of 5. Goal intervals: Freiburg most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (33%), and Red Bull Salzburg between 46-60 (38%). Conceding: Freiburg splits 33% in each of the first three 15-minute intervals, while Red Bull Salzburg concedes more often between 61 and 75 minutes (50%). Considering the average scoring rate, over 2.5 goals, and second-half activity, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.67 seems reasonable.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Average corners over five matches: Freiburg - 4.6, Red Bull Salzburg - 3.8. Freiburg has seen over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 recent matches, while Red Bull Salzburg has seen it in 1 out of 5. Odds for total corners over 9.5 are 2.05, under 9.5 is 1.65. Freiburg is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.28. Given these stats, betting on over 8.5 or 9.5 corners is justified, considering both teams average over 8 corners per match. A bet on Freiburg to win the corner count is also an option.