Prediction for match Freiburg — Union Berlin

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The match between Freiburg and Union Berlin will take place on 15.03.2026 in the Bundesliga. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Freiburg win at 2.20, a draw at 3.40, and a Union Berlin victory at 3.74. According to probability percentages, Freiburg is given a 44.74% chance, a draw 28.95%, and Union Berlin 26.32%. Freiburg is considered the favorite, but the odds gap between the teams isn't large, suggesting some intrigue in the balance of power. Odds for over 2.0 goals are at 1.58, and both teams to score is at 1.85, indicating expectations for goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Freiburg had an average ball possession of 42%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 7.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Union Berlin, over the same period, maintained 34.2% possession, recorded 2.4 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per match. Freiburg's last three matches were: 12.03.2026 Genk - Freiburg 1-0, 07.03.2026 Freiburg - Bayer 3-3, 01.03.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg 2-0. Union Berlin's last three matches: 08.03.2026 Union Berlin - Werder 1-4, 28.02.2026 Borussia M - Union Berlin 1-0, 21.02.2026 Union Berlin - Bayer 1-0. The last head-to-head encounter was on 01.11.2025 and ended 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their five-match series, Freiburg's average total goals per game is 3, while Union Berlin's is 2.8. Both teams score an average of 1 goal per match, with Freiburg conceding an average of 2, and Union Berlin 1.8. In Freiburg's last five matches, the total over 2.5 occurred 3 times, and for Union Berlin 2 times. In terms of halves, Freiburg saw a total over 1.5 in the second half in 4 out of 5 matches, and Union Berlin in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Freiburg had a total over 1.5 only once in 5 matches, while Union Berlin had it twice. Freiburg most often scores between the 31-45 and 76-90 minute intervals (27% each), while Union Berlin scores most frequently in the 76-90 minute interval (43%). Freiburg concedes most often in the 31-45 minute interval (50%), and Union Berlin in the final minutes (76-90, 43%). Overall, both teams show a tendency for high-scoring games, especially in the second half, supporting a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.58.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Freiburg's average corners in the last five matches is 5.4, while Union Berlin's is 2.8. The total over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times for Freiburg and not once for Union Berlin. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (8.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is at 1.58, under 8.5 at 1.63. For corner outcomes, Freiburg is the favorite with odds of 1.73. Overall, based on statistics, it's logical to consider a bet on Freiburg's individual corner total over 4.5 or the overall total over 8.5, given their high activity in recent matches.