Prediction for match Freiburg — Werder Bremen, 07.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the German Bundesliga, Freiburg will face Werder Bremen on February 7, 2026. Freiburg is the favorite in this matchup with odds of 1.91 for their victory. A draw is priced at 3.86, while a win for Werder Bremen is at 4.31. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Freiburg - 51.60%, draw - 25.53%, Werder Bremen - 22.87%. This setup reflects Freiburg's advantage in several parameters and their status as the bookmakers' favorite.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Freiburg averages 45.4% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Werder Bremen shows a higher possession rate of 57.6%, receives 1 yellow card, commits 8.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per match. Freiburg's last three results were: February 1 - Stuttgart 1-0 Freiburg, January 29 - Lille 1-0 Freiburg, January 25 - Freiburg 2-1 Cologne. Werder Bremen's recent matches ended as follows: January 31 - Werder Bremen 1-1 Borussia M, January 27 - Werder Bremen 0-2 Hoffenheim, January 24 - Bayer 1-0 Werder Bremen. The last head-to-head between these teams was on September 20, 2025, with Freiburg winning 3-0 at Werder Bremen's ground.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Freiburg averages 2 goals per match, scoring 1 and conceding 1 goal per game. Werder Bremen has a higher average total of 2.8, though they score 0.8 and concede 2 goals per match. Over 2.5 goals occurred 2 out of 5 times for both teams, while under 2.5 goals occurred 3 out of 5 times. By halves, Freiburg saw over 1.5 goals in the first half only once in five matches, similar to Werder Bremen. In the second half, Freiburg exceeded 1.5 goals once, while Werder Bremen did so three times out of five. Regarding goal intervals, Freiburg most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (38%), while Werder Bremen scores in the same interval at a rate of 63%. Freiburg concedes evenly across three intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (33% each). Werder Bremen concedes more often between 46-60 minutes (33%). Considering the average scoring, frequency of over 2.5 goals, and goal distribution by halves, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.87 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Freiburg averages 4 corners per match, Werder Bremen - 5, totaling 9. In a five-match series, over 9.5 corners occurred 3 out of 5 times for both teams. For a corners total of 9.5, both options are available: over at 1.95, under at 1.80. Freiburg is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.55. Based on the average number of corners and frequency of overs, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, but it's also worth considering the individual team performances, as both regularly deliver at least 4-5 corners per game.