Prediction for match Senegal — Egypt

Match Analysis: Senegal vs Egypt

On January 14, Senegal will face Egypt in the Africa Cup of Nations. According to the 1X2 odds, Senegal is priced at 2.23, a draw at 3.04, and Egypt at 4.12. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Senegal 43.96%, draw 32.25%, Egypt 23.79%. Senegal is the favorite to win, but the possibility of a draw is also quite high. For total goals, over 2.5 is at 2.61, under 2.5 at 1.57. Both teams to score: yes - 2.09, no - 1.68. For individual team totals, Senegal over 1.5 is at 2.42, Egypt over 1.5 at 3.90. The double chance 1X is at 1.28, X2 at 1.73, and 12 at 1.44. For first-half goals, over 0.5 is at 1.64, under 1 at 1.53. For the second half, over 1.5 is at 2.59, under 1.5 at 1.49.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Senegal has an average possession of 63.2%, with an average of 2 yellow cards, 17.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Egypt, in the same period, has 50.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Senegal played as follows: January 9 - Mali 0-1 Senegal, January 3 - Senegal 3-1 Sudan, December 30 - Benin 0-3 Senegal. Egypt's last three matches: January 10 - Egypt 3-2 Ivory Coast, January 5 - Egypt 3-1 Benin, December 29 - Angola 0-0 Egypt. In their head-to-head match on March 29, 2022, Senegal defeated Egypt 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, both teams have an average total goals of 2.6. Senegal scores an average of 2.2 and concedes 0.4, while Egypt scores 1.8 and concedes 0.8. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches and under 2.5 in 2 out of 5. By halves: over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred once in 5 matches for both teams, and over 1.5 in the second half occurred 3 out of 5 times. Senegal most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each), while Egypt scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each). Conceded goals: Senegal most often concedes between the 61st-75th minutes (33%), Egypt evenly across four intervals (16-30, 31-45, 61-75, 76-90) at 25% each. The goal and total statistics suggest both teams can create chances, especially in the second half. The option for total over 2.0 is at 1.85, which seems justified given such scoring statistics. This bet allows for a refund if there are two goals, and a full win if there are three or more.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Senegal takes 6 corners per match, and Egypt 4.4. For total over 9.5 corners: Senegal has 2 out of 5 over, Egypt 4 out of 5 over. Combined, the average for both teams is 10.4. The line offers a total of 9.5 corners: over 9.5 is at 2.36, under 9.5 at 1.45. Given this statistic, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems interesting, considering both teams frequently take corners and the average exceeds the line. Individually, Senegal consistently maintains a high level of corner deliveries, and Egypt can also keep up the pace. The option for over 9.5 corners could be considered an additional idea for the match.