Prediction for match Senegal — Morocco

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

Senegal and Morocco will face off in the Africa Cup of Nations on January 18, 2026. Morocco is favored with odds of 2.42 to win, a draw is at 3.01, and Senegal is at 3.62. The probability percentages for the 1X2 outcome: Morocco - 40.44%, draw - 32.52%, Senegal - 27.04%. This indicates a moderate advantage for Morocco, but a draw is also a plausible outcome according to the odds. Bookmakers' expectations for total goals: over 1.5 goals is at 1.62, under 2.5 goals is at 1.47, both teams to score: yes - 2.17, no - 1.63. Individual totals options: Senegal over 0.5 goals - 1.61, Morocco over 1 goal - 1.82.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Senegal defeated Egypt 1-0 (14.01.2026), won against Mali 1-0 (09.01.2026), and beat Sudan 3-1 (03.01.2026). Morocco, in their last three games, beat Nigeria 4-2 (14.01.2026), overcame Cameroon 2-0 (09.01.2026), and won against Tanzania 1-0 (04.01.2026). In their last head-to-head on August 26, 2025, the teams drew 1-1. In secondary statistics, over a five-match span, Senegal averages 62.2% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 16.6 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides per game. Morocco shows 56% possession, 1 yellow card, 16.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides on average per match. These numbers indicate high discipline and ball control from both teams, along with a relatively low number of fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Senegal has averaged 1.8 goals scored per game, conceded 0.4, with a total average of 2.2 goals. Morocco, over the same period, scored 1.4, conceded 0.2, with an average total of 1.6 goals. For over 2.5 goals: Senegal 2 out of 5, Morocco only 1 out of 5. For under 2.5 goals: Senegal 3 out of 5, Morocco 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 1 time out of 5 for both teams, in the second half, Senegal 2 out of 5, Morocco none. This confirms a trend towards low scoring, especially for Morocco. For goal intervals: Senegal most frequently scores in the 76-90 minute range (40%), Morocco in the 31-45 and 61-75 minute ranges (50% each). For goals conceded: Senegal is most vulnerable from 61 to 75 minutes (33%), Morocco from 16 to 30 and 61 to 75 minutes (33% each). Overall, the statistics for both teams on totals and halves lean towards a low-scoring game, where the likelihood of both teams scoring is low. The option both teams to score: no is at 1.63 and seems logical, given the low goals conceded and over totals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Senegal averages 5.8 corners per match, Morocco 5.4. For over 9.5 corners: Senegal 2 out of 5, Morocco 1 out of 5. The line offers a total corners of 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.77, under 8.5 is at 1.83. The total closest to the average sum of corners is 8.5, as both teams average slightly over 5 corners. Based on this data, a bet on total corners closer to 8.5 seems justified, rather than higher values. On individual corner totals, Senegal often exceeds 4.5 (average 5.8), Morocco also consistently maintains above 5. The option for total corners over 8.5 can be considered as viable, but without a clear bias.