Prediction for match Serbia — Latvia

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the World Cup Qualifier between Serbia and Latvia on November 16, Serbia is seen as the clear favorite. Serbia's win is priced at 1.20, a draw at 6.00, and a win for Latvia at 15.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Serbia - 78.13%, draw - 15.63%, Latvia - 6.25%. The most likely outcome is a convincing result in favor of Serbia.

Team Statistics and Scores

Serbia's ball possession over five matches is 48.4%, while Latvia's is 45.25%. Serbia averages 1.2 yellow cards, compared to Latvia's 2.25. Fouls per game: Serbia records 14.8, Latvia 8.25. Offside stats are close: 1.2 for Serbia and 1.25 for Latvia. Serbia's last three matches: November 13 England 2-0 Serbia, October 14 Andorra 1-3 Serbia, October 11 Serbia 0-1 Albania. Latvia's matches: November 13 North Macedonia 0-0 Latvia, October 14 Latvia 0-5 England, October 11 Latvia 2-2 Andorra. In their head-to-head on September 6, Latvia lost to Serbia 0-1, with under 2.5 goals hitting.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Serbia hit over 2.5 goals twice, under three times. Latvia has the same record: over twice, under three times. In the first half, both teams had two over 1.5 goals, and the same in the second half. Average total goals over five matches: Serbia - 2.6, Latvia - 2.75. Serbia's average goals scored per game - 0.8, conceded - 1.8, while Latvia's are 0.5 and 2.25 respectively. Serbia most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (67%), while Latvia scores 33% in each of the 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minute intervals. Serbia concedes most between 31-45 minutes (30%), Latvia also in the 31-45 (38%). Given the low scoring nature of both sides and the lack of dominant over-patterns on totals, betting on under 3.5 goals seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Serbia averages 5.6 corners per match, Latvia 3.5. In a five-match series, Serbia surpassed 9.5 corners three times, Latvia twice. For total corners over 8.5, odds are 1.80, under 8.5 - 2.00. Serbia's win on corners is priced at 1.14. Considering the difference in set-piece activity and the overall pattern of recent games, betting on Serbia's individual corner total over 6.5 at 2.00 seems justified, but the main pick remains under 3.5 goals.