Prediction for match Sevilla — Alaves, 14.02.2026

Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Alaves

In the Spanish La Liga on 14th February 2026, Sevilla will face Alaves. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Sevilla is priced at 2.21, a draw at 3.20, and a win for Alaves at 3.98. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Sevilla 44.53%, draw 30.75%, Alaves 24.72%. Sevilla is the favorite based on the odds and probabilities, but the gap isn't overwhelming, adding intrigue to the prediction choice. Additional goal markets offer Over 2.5 goals at 2.46 and Over 2.0 goals at 1.74, with both teams to score: yes at 2.00, no at 1.74.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Sevilla played as follows: 08.02.2026 - Sevilla vs Girona - 1-1, 02.02.2026 - Mallorca vs Sevilla - 4-1, 24.01.2026 - Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao - 2-1. Alaves' last three results: 08.02.2026 - Alaves vs Getafe - 0-2, 04.02.2026 - Alaves vs Real Sociedad - 2-3, 30.01.2026 - Espanyol vs Alaves - 1-2. On average over the last five matches, Sevilla has 55.4% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 13.6 fouls, and has 3.2 offsides per game. Alaves' stats are: 49.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 17.12.2025, Alaves defeated Sevilla 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. On average, Sevilla scores 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1.8, while Alaves scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6. The average total goals in Sevilla's matches is 3, and for Alaves, it's 2.8. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred twice out of five for both teams, and in the second half three times out of five. Sevilla most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (33%), and Alaves in the first 15 minutes (43%). Both teams are most vulnerable to conceding in the final minutes: Sevilla concedes 43% of their goals between 76-90 minutes, and Alaves 38% in the same period. The statistics on totals and goal distribution by halves suggest a tendency towards a high-scoring match, and betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.74 seems logical. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, supporting this prediction.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Sevilla averages 6.2 corners per game, while Alaves averages 4.6. In their last five matches, Sevilla's total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 times, and Alaves' 2 times. Combining their averages, the teams sum up to 10.8 corners per match. Among corner markets, the line closest to this sum is over 10.5: over 10.5 is priced at 2.51, under at 1.44. Sevilla is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.58. In this situation, betting on over 10.5 corners seems justified, considering Sevilla's frequency and overall activity in this metric.