Prediction for match Sevilla — Athletic Club, 24.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

The La Liga match between Sevilla and Athletic Club will take place on January 24, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, bookmakers offer the following: Sevilla win - 2.99, draw - 3.18, Athletic Club win - 2.73. The probability distribution for the outcomes is: Sevilla is estimated at 32.94%, a draw at 30.98%, and Athletic Club at 36.08%. The odds suggest a slight advantage for Athletic Club, but the difference between the teams is minimal, as confirmed by the probability percentages. In the goal totals market, the over 2.0 is priced at 1.69 and over 2.25 at 1.98, with both teams to score: yes at 1.90.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last 5 games, Sevilla has an average possession of 53.8%, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 16.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per match. During the same period, Athletic Club has 38.4% possession, receives 3 warnings, commits 11.8 fouls, and is offside 1.2 times. In their last three matches, Sevilla played as follows: January 19, 2026 - Elche 2-2 Sevilla, January 12, 2026 - Sevilla 0-1 Celta, January 4, 2026 - Sevilla 0-3 Levante. Athletic Club's last three games were: January 21, 2026 - Atalanta 2-3 Athletic Club, January 17, 2026 - Mallorca 3-2 Athletic Club, January 13, 2026 - Cultural Leonesa 3-4 Athletic Club. Their last head-to-head was on August 17, 2025, with Athletic Club winning 3-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Sevilla has an average total of 2.2 goals per game, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.8 per match. Athletic Club's figures are noticeably higher: 4.8 goals on average, scoring 2 and conceding 2.8. Sevilla has 2 out of 5 matches over 2.5 goals, while Athletic Club has 4 out of 5. In the first half, Sevilla never had more than 1.5 goals, while Athletic Club had this total in 3 out of 5 times. In the second half, Sevilla had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, with Athletic Club only 1 out of 5. Sevilla most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), and concedes in the same interval 67% of the time. Athletic Club most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (40%), with conceded goals split between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes at 33% each. Considering Athletic Club's high scoring ability and Sevilla's unstable defense, a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.90 seems logical, especially supported by both teams' over 2.5 goal trends and Athletic Club's tendency for high-scoring matches.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

The average number of corners for both teams over 5 matches is 6.4 each, totaling 12.8 per game. For the over 9.5 corners total, Sevilla has 3 out of 5 over, and Athletic Club 4 out of 5 over. Among the offered corner totals, the line for over 9.5 is at 1.96 and under 9.5 at 1.79. Athletic Club is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 2.00. Given the high averages and frequent over totals, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, and also pay attention to both teams' attacking activity from set pieces.