Prediction for match Sevilla — Real Sociedad

Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Real Sociedad

In La Liga on May 4th, Sevilla will face Real Sociedad. The odds for a Sevilla win are 2.50, for a Real Sociedad victory 2.97, and a draw is at 3.60. In terms of probability: Sevilla is at 39.43%, Real Sociedad at 33.19%, and a draw at 27.38%. Sevilla has a slightly higher chance of winning, but Real Sociedad also has significant support in the odds. There is no clear favorite, and bookmakers expect a closely contested match.

Team Statistics and Scores

Sevilla lost to Osasuna 1-2 (26.04), was defeated by Levante 0-2 (23.04), and beat Atletico Madrid 2-1 (11.04) in their last three matches. Real Sociedad drew with Rayo Vallecano 3-3 (26.04), lost to Getafe 0-1 (22.04), and defeated Atletico Madrid 6-5 (18.04). In their head-to-head meeting on October 24, 2025, Real Sociedad was stronger with a 2-1 win over Sevilla. Over the last five matches, Sevilla averages 43.4% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Real Sociedad has 51.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per match. These stats suggest that Real Sociedad is slightly more active in attacking phases and controls possession more often, but both teams are close in terms of fouls committed.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Sevilla averages 2.2 goals per game, and Real Sociedad 3.8. Sevilla scores 0.6 and concedes 1.6, while Real Sociedad scores 2 and concedes 1.8. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Sevilla and 3 out of 5 for Real Sociedad. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for Sevilla and 4 times for Real Sociedad, and in the second half, it was 1 time for Sevilla and 2 times for Real Sociedad. Regarding goal intervals, Sevilla most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (43% each) and concedes most often between the 31st-45th minutes (75%). Real Sociedad most often scores between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (36% each) and concedes in the 16th-30th minute interval (33%). Given Real Sociedad's high scoring rate and consistent two goals per match, along with Sevilla's less reliable defense, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.00 seems reasonable. The over 2.5 hit in 3 out of 5 for Real Sociedad and 2 out of 5 for Sevilla, and average goal stats support a high-scoring match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Sevilla averages 5.2 corners in their last five games, while Real Sociedad averages 7. For the over 9.5 corners total: Sevilla hit it 2 out of 5 times, and Real Sociedad 4 out of 5. The nearest total to the average corners is 12.5, but the line offers a total of 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.75, under 9.5 is at 1.96. Sevilla is favored for corners with odds of 1.65. Considering both teams' average activity on the wings and frequent over 9.5 corners for Real Sociedad, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that both teams can create chances through the flanks, increasing the likelihood of a high number of corners in this match.