Sevilla and Valencia will face off in La Liga on March 21. The odds for a Sevilla win are 2.33, a draw is priced at 3.29, and a Valencia victory is at 3.56. The estimated probabilities are: Sevilla 42.32%, draw 29.97%, Valencia 27.70%. Sevilla has the highest probability of winning, but there's no significant gap between the teams, which is reflected in the odds. Overall, bookmakers suggest it will be a closely contested match, with Sevilla slightly favored to take all three points.
In their last five matches, Sevilla has secured 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Their recent results include: March 15, 2026 Barcelona 5-2 Sevilla, March 8, 2026 Sevilla 1-1 Rayo Vallecano, March 1, 2026 Real Betis 2-2 Sevilla. Valencia, in their last five games, has achieved 3 wins and suffered 2 losses. Their recent matches are: March 14, 2026 Real Oviedo 1-0 Valencia, March 8, 2026 Valencia 3-2 Alaves, March 1, 2026 Valencia 1-0 Osasuna. On average over five matches, Sevilla had 46% possession, committed 15.2 fouls, received 2.2 yellow cards, and recorded 2.6 offsides. Valencia's stats: 55.4% possession, 12 fouls, 2.4 yellow cards, and 2.2 offsides. In their last encounter on December 7, 2025, Valencia and Sevilla drew 1-1.
In the last five games, both teams had over 2.5 total goals twice and under 2.5 three times. Sevilla's average total goals during this period is 3.2, while Valencia's is 2.4. Both teams score an average of 1.4 goals per match, but Sevilla concedes significantly more - 1.8 compared to Valencia's 1. In terms of halves, Sevilla had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 out of 5 times, and the same in the second half. For Valencia, only 1 out of 5 first halves was productive, and 2 out of 5 second halves. Sevilla most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (33%), while Valencia scores either in the same interval (29%) or late in the game from the 76th to 90th minute (29%). Sevilla concedes most often in three consecutive intervals (46-60, 61-75, 76-90) at 29% each, while Valencia concedes most from the 61st to 75th minute (40%). Overall, the statistics suggest moderate scoring, but Sevilla tends to have more open games, whereas Valencia is more solid defensively. The most logical bet appears to be under 2.5 goals at 1.63.
Sevilla averages 3 corners per match, while Valencia averages 5.6. The over 9.5 corners total was never surpassed by Sevilla in 5 matches, while Valencia exceeded it 2 out of 5 times. Based on the average corners total (8.6), the closest line is 8.5 corners. The odds are 1.55 for over 8.5 and 2.23 for under 8.5. There's also a 9.5 line: over 9.5 is at 1.95, under 9.5 at 1.76. Sevilla is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.62. Given the average activity, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, but the frequency of high totals is low, especially for Sevilla.
Sportwars.net Prediction for Sevilla vs Valencia, 21.03.2026 - Under 2.5 goals, odds 1.63. Correct score: 1-1, odds 6.00.






