Prediction for match Shanghai Port — Sichuan Jiuniu

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Chinese Super League on May 6th, Shanghai Port will face Sichuan Jiuniu. According to the 1X2 odds, Shanghai Port is the favorite to win with odds of 1.58, a draw is priced at 4.42, and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu is at 5.35. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 60.50% for a Shanghai Port win, 21.63% for a draw, and 17.87% for a Sichuan Jiuniu win. The total goals markets are also intriguing: over 2.5 goals is at 1.74, while under 2.5 is at 2.12. For both teams to score, the odds are 1.75 for yes and 1.97 for no. There are other markets available, but the main focus is on the result and totals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Shanghai Port lost 1-3 to Qingdao Zhongnen on May 2nd, thrashed Wuhan Three Towns 4-0 on April 25th, and lost 1-2 to Chongqing Tongliang Long on April 21st. Sichuan Jiuniu lost 1-2 to Zhejiang Professional on May 2nd, won 1-0 against Shenyang Urban on April 26th, and lost 0-1 to Beijing Guoan on April 21st. Over the last five matches, Shanghai Port averaged 58% possession, 4.4 corners, 3 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Sichuan Jiuniu had 42% possession, 4 corners, 1.8 yellows, 10.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides in the same period. In their last head-to-head on June 30, 2025, Sichuan Jiuniu lost 1-2 to Shanghai Port.

How Many Goals Can We Expect?

In their last five matches, Shanghai Port had over 2.5 goals in three games and under in two. Sichuan Jiuniu had over 2.5 goals in two matches and under in three. The average goals per match for both teams is 2.8. Shanghai Port scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 1.4, while Sichuan Jiuniu scores 1 and concedes 1.8. By halves, Shanghai Port had over 1.5 goals in the first half once and twice in the second half out of five matches. Sichuan Jiuniu had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice and the same in the second. In terms of goal intervals, Shanghai Port often scores between 46-60 minutes (40%) and concedes between 31-45 (50%). Sichuan Jiuniu most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (44%) and concedes evenly in three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 (33% each). Overall, both teams tend to have matches with two to three goals, but Shanghai Port has a slightly more pronounced over-profile, as confirmed by their head-to-head results. In this situation, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.74 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Shanghai Port averages 4.4 corners per game, and Sichuan Jiuniu averages 4. Over the last five matches, Shanghai Port had over 9.5 corners twice, and Sichuan Jiuniu had over 9.5 corners three times. Based on the combined average corners of both teams (8.4), the closest line is over 8.5 (odds 1.44) and under 8.5 (2.52). The option for over 9.5 is at 1.76, and under 9.5 is at 1.94. Shanghai Port is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.24. Overall, both teams are capable of delivering 8-10 corners per match, and a bet on over 8.5 or 9.5 corners seems logical with such statistics. It's also worth noting that Shanghai Port often controls possession, which may lead to more set pieces in their favor.