Prediction for match Shanghai Port — Yunnan Yukun

Match Analysis: Shanghai Port vs Yunnan Yukun

On April 4th, a Super League match will take place between Shanghai Port and Yunnan Yukun. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a victory for Shanghai Port is at 1.66, a draw at 4.32, and a win for Yunnan Yukun at 4.68. According to the probability percentages calculated by bookmakers, Shanghai Port has a 57.51% chance of winning, a draw is rated at 22.10%, and a victory for Yunnan Yukun at 20.40%. The odds clearly favor the home team, which is confirmed by both the odds and the probability distribution. Considering the current odds, bookmakers expect Shanghai Port to control the match and maintain the initiative more often.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Shanghai Port averaged 55.4% possession, 1.2 offsides, 12.6 fouls, and received 1.2 yellow cards per game. During the same period, Yunnan Yukun averaged 45.8% possession, 1.6 offsides, 11 fouls, and 2.8 yellow cards. Shanghai Port's last three matches: March 20, 2026 - Dalian Pro vs Shanghai Port - 1-0, March 15, 2026 - Shanghai Port vs Qingdao West Coast - 4-1, March 7, 2026 - Shanghai Port vs Henan Jianye - 1-2. For Yunnan Yukun: March 21, 2026 - Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Taishan - 4-0, March 15, 2026 - Henan Jianye vs Yunnan Yukun - 2-1, March 7, 2026 - Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Zhongneng - 3-1. In their head-to-head on September 12, 2025, Shanghai Port defeated Yunnan Yukun 4-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Shanghai Port has averaged 1.8 goals per match, scoring 1 and conceding 0.8 per game. Yunnan Yukun has higher figures: 2.8 goals on average, with 2 scored and 0.8 conceded. For over 2.5 goals: Shanghai Port has 2 out of 5 matches over, and Yunnan Yukun has 3 out of 5 over. By halves, Shanghai Port has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in both the first and second halves, while Yunnan Yukun has 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second. Shanghai Port most often scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (33% each), while Yunnan Yukun scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (36%). Shanghai Port concedes equally across three intervals (0-15, 16-30, 76-90 - 33% each), while Yunnan Yukun most often concedes between the 46th-60th minutes (67%). Given that both teams concede less than 1 goal per match on average, and Shanghai Port lacks a strong over-profile both in totals and halves, a bet on under 3.0 goals at 2.11 seems logical. In their last five matches, Shanghai Port only surpassed the 3-goal mark twice, while Yunnan Yukun did so three times, but both teams demonstrate careful defensive play. The cumulative goal stats and total passing frequencies support the choice of an under wager.

Corner Totals Analysis

Shanghai Port averages 6.8 corners per match, while Yunnan Yukun averages 6. In a five-game series, Shanghai Port had 4 out of 5 matches go over 9.5 corners, and Yunnan Yukun had 3 out of 5 over 9.5. The closest to the average total is 12.5, but the line offers a total of 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.66, under 9.5 at 2.08. Shanghai Port is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.34. Expect active wing play and a high number of set-pieces, especially from Shanghai Port, as evidenced by their high corner average and frequent over 9.5 totals. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified given both teams' statistics.