Prediction for match Shimizu S-pulse — Cerezo Osaka, 09.11.2025

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the J1 League on November 9, Shimizu S-pulse will face Cerezo Osaka. According to the odds, Cerezo Osaka holds a slight advantage: a win for the visitors is priced at 2.40, while a victory for Shimizu S-pulse is at 2.75, and a draw is at 3.40. Looking at the probability distribution, Cerezo Osaka has a 38.78% chance of winning, Shimizu S-pulse 33.84%, and a draw 27.37%. This reflects a moderately balanced match with a slight edge for Cerezo Osaka.

Team Streaks

Over the last five matches, Shimizu S-pulse had an average possession of 49%, committed 12 fouls, received 1 yellow card, and was caught offside 1.2 times per game. Cerezo Osaka had higher possession at 54.4%, with 1.4 yellows, 11.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Shimizu S-pulse's last three matches: a 1-0 win against Tokyo Verdy (25.10), a 3-5 loss to Kawasaki Frontale (18.10), and a 1-1 draw with FC Tokyo (04.10). Cerezo Osaka defeated Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 (25.10), won against Fagiano Okayama 2-1 (18.10), and lost to Nagoya Grampus 1-2 (04.10). In their head-to-head on June 1, 2025, Cerezo Osaka beat Shimizu S-pulse 4-2 (over 2.5 goals was achieved).

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In their last five matches, Shimizu S-pulse had 2 matches over 2.5 goals and 3 under, while Cerezo Osaka had 4 matches over 2.5 goals. Average goals per match: Shimizu S-pulse 2.8, Cerezo Osaka 3. Shimizu S-pulse scores an average of 1.2 and concedes 1.6; Cerezo Osaka scores 1.4 and concedes 1.6. In the first half, Shimizu S-pulse had only 1 match over 1.5 goals (4 under), while Cerezo Osaka had 4 matches over 1.5 goals. In the second half, both teams had 2 matches over 1.5 goals. In terms of intervals, Shimizu S-pulse scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (33%), while Cerezo Osaka scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (44%). Shimizu S-pulse concedes most often in three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, 76-90 (33% each). Cerezo Osaka concedes most in the 16-30 and 76-90 intervals (33%). The statistics suggest regular goals from both teams and good chances for the bet 'Both Teams to Score: Yes' to succeed. The odds for this option are 1.57.

Betting on Corners

Shimizu S-pulse averages 3.8 corners per match, while Cerezo Osaka averages 6.6. In the last 5 games, the total over 9.5 corners was achieved 2 times by Shimizu S-pulse and 3 times by Cerezo Osaka. The line offers a total over 9.5 corners at 1.73 and under 9.5 at 2.00. Cerezo Osaka is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.83. Given the dynamics, Cerezo Osaka has a clear advantage in the number of corners, making a bet on their corner advantage quite justified. Also, a bet on over 9.5 total corners looks promising given these averages.