Prediction for match Shimizu S-pulse — Cerezo Osaka

Match Analysis: Shimizu S-pulse vs Cerezo Osaka

In the J1 League on May 6, Shimizu S-pulse will face Cerezo Osaka. The odds for a Shimizu S-pulse win are 2.53, for a Cerezo Osaka victory - 2.68, and a draw is priced at 3.30. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Shimizu S-pulse - 36.89%, draw - 28.28%, Cerezo Osaka - 34.83%. According to the bookmakers, the teams are closely matched, with neither side being a clear favorite.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Shimizu S-pulse recorded the following results: May 2 - Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Shimizu S-pulse, April 29 - Shimizu S-pulse 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki, April 25 - Shimizu S-pulse 0-2 Nagoya Grampus. Cerezo Osaka's recent results are: May 3 - Cerezo Osaka 5-4 Avispa Fukuoka, April 29 - Vissel Kobe 2-4 Cerezo Osaka, April 25 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Cerezo Osaka. Over the last five games, Shimizu S-pulse had an average possession of 47.6%, committed 8.4 fouls, received 0.2 yellow cards, and were caught offside 2.4 times per game. Cerezo Osaka had 49.2% possession, 10.6 fouls, 1.2 yellow cards, and 2.2 offsides. Their last head-to-head encounter on March 7, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw.

Goals and Match Statistics

Shimizu S-pulse has an average total of 2.6 goals per game over the last five matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Cerezo Osaka's average total is lower at 1.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding only 0.6. Shimizu S-pulse saw over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, while Cerezo Osaka had 2 out of 5. In the first half, Shimizu S-pulse had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and Cerezo Osaka in 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams exceeded 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches. Shimizu S-pulse most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (67%), and concedes in two intervals: 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (30% each). Cerezo Osaka scores most often in the final minutes (76-90 minutes - 43%) and concedes early (0-15 minutes - 67%). Overall, Shimizu S-pulse appears slightly more prolific, but Cerezo Osaka has a stronger defense. Considering neither team has a pronounced over-profile and Cerezo Osaka's low conceding rate with only 2 out of 5 matches over 2.5 goals, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.97 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Both teams average 3.8 corners per game over the last five matches. Shimizu S-pulse had over 9.5 corners once in 5 games, while Cerezo Osaka had 2 out of 5. The closest line to the average sum is 7.5, but there is a market for over/under 9.5 corners: over 9.5 corners at 2.02, under 9.5 at 1.75. There is no distinct winner in terms of corners, as there is no separate market for corner outcomes. Overall, both teams do not show high activity in corner kicks, so considering lower corner totals is logical.