Prediction for match Shonan Bellmare — Albirex Niigata, 08.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On November 8th, a J1 League match will take place between Shonan Bellmare and Albirex Niigata. According to the odds, Albirex Niigata is the favorite, with their victory priced at 2.40, equivalent to a 39.05% probability. Shonan Bellmare is given odds of 2.88 (32.54%), while a draw is at 3.30 (28.40%). This distribution in the 1X2 market shows a slight advantage for the visitors, but the gap between the teams is not significant. Albirex Niigata often gets the stronger side status on the line, but both teams have fairly close chances, making any outcome possible. It is important to note that the odds for the total goals over/under 2.5 are balanced: both over and under are priced at 1.90, reflecting a slight lean towards a low-scoring game considering the recent streaks of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Shonan Bellmare has an average possession of 54.4%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Albirex Niigata, in the same period, shows 53.8% possession, averages 1 yellow card, commits 13.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times. Recent results for Shonan Bellmare are: 26.10.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare 1-0, 19.10.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga 1-1, 03.10.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 0-1. For Albirex Niigata: 26.10.2025 Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe 2-2, 18.10.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata 1-0, 04.10.2025 Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama 1-1. The last head-to-head on 25.05.2025 ended with Albirex Niigata beating Shonan Bellmare 2-1, with the over 2.5 goals hitting.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The scoring rate for both teams in the last five matches is low. Only 1 out of 5 games for Shonan Bellmare ended with over 2.5 goals, and 2 out of 5 for Albirex Niigata. In the first half, both teams have seen the over 1.5 goals hit only once in 5 games, while in the second half, Albirex Niigata is slightly higher with 2 out of 5, and Shonan Bellmare with 1 out of 5. The average number of goals per match for Shonan Bellmare is 1.6, and for Albirex Niigata, it is 2.6. In terms of goals scored: 0.4 for Shonan Bellmare and 1 for Albirex Niigata; for goals conceded - 1.2 and 1.6 respectively. The most frequent interval when Shonan Bellmare scores is the 76-90 minute (50%), while for Albirex Niigata, it is the 61-75 minute (50%). In terms of goals conceded, Shonan Bellmare often suffers in the final minutes (76-90, 40%), while Albirex Niigata is vulnerable between 46-60 (40%). Given the low scoring rate of Shonan Bellmare, as well as the not too high activity from Albirex Niigata, betting on under 2.5 goals seems most logical. This total was under in 4 out of the last 5 matches for Shonan Bellmare and in 3 out of 5 matches for Albirex Niigata. Also, note the low goal figures in the first half for both teams.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Regarding corners, Shonan Bellmare averages 5.8 per game over the last five matches, while Albirex Niigata averages 4.8. The over 9.5 corners total was hit 4 times out of 5 for Shonan Bellmare, but never for Albirex Niigata. The odds for over 9.5 corners are at 1.80, and under at 2.00. Albirex Niigata is favored to win the corner count at 1.91, with Shonan Bellmare at 2.20. Given that Shonan Bellmare consistently delivers at least 5 corners per match, and the over 9.5 total was achieved 4 out of 5 times, betting on over 9.5 corners appears justified. However, Albirex Niigata's recent matches rarely hit a high corner total, which might slightly lower the overall figure, but Shonan Bellmare's activity can ensure this line is covered.