Prediction for match Slovakia — Northern Ireland, 14.11.2025

Match Analysis: Slovakia vs Northern Ireland

In the European World Cup qualifiers, Slovakia will host Northern Ireland. Slovakia is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.95, a draw at 3.00, and Northern Ireland's success at 4.50. In terms of probability, Slovakia has a 48.00% chance of winning, a draw is at 31.20%, and Northern Ireland has a 20.80% chance. These figures confirm that the bookmakers expect Slovakia to have the advantage, although the probability of a draw remains quite high. The line also highlights a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.50, suggesting a restrained match with a minimal number of goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Slovakia defeated Luxembourg 2-0, lost to Northern Ireland 0-2, and won against Luxembourg 1-0. Northern Ireland lost to Germany 0-1, beat Slovakia 2-0, and lost to Germany 1-3. In the head-to-head encounter on October 10, 2025, Northern Ireland won against Slovakia 2-0, with the total over 2.5 goals hitting. Looking at the game stats, Slovakia holds possession for an average of 49.6% of the time, receives 1.6 yellow cards, and commits 14.2 fouls per game, with 0.8 offsides. Northern Ireland has 35% possession, 2.2 yellows, 13 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Slovakia averages 5 corners per game, while Northern Ireland averages 4.8.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Slovakia averages 1.6 goals per match, scoring 1 and conceding 0.6. Northern Ireland averages 2.4, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1. Slovakia has 0 over 2.5 goals in 5 matches, while Northern Ireland has 2 out of 5. In the first half, there were no instances of over 1.5 goals for Slovakia and twice for the opponent. In the second halves: 1 time for Slovakia and 2 for Northern Ireland. Slovakia most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (33%), while Northern Ireland scores either in 16-30 (29%) or 61-75 (29%). Slovakia concedes exclusively at the end (76-90, 100%), while Northern Ireland concedes in 31-45 (40%). The combination of low totals, minimal over hits, and concentration of goals in the second halves for both sides forms a basis for a bet on under 2.5 goals. Especially considering Slovakia's 5 out of 5 matches went under 2.5, and Northern Ireland's 3 out of 5. This is supported by average scoring and the fact that both teams' defenses appear stronger than their attacks. In this situation, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.50 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

In the last five matches, Slovakia averages 5 corners, Northern Ireland 4.8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Slovakia has 3 out of 5, Northern Ireland 2 out of 5. The line highlights over 9 corners at 1.98 and under 9 at 1.82, as well as over 8.5 at 1.73 and under 8.5 at 2.00. Slovakia is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.67. Based on these figures, you might consider a bet on Slovakia's individual corner total over 4.5 at 1.73, but the overall total over 8.5 also looks promising given the average performance in this component.