Prediction for match Southampton — Birmingham, 06.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the English Championship on December 6, 2025, Southampton will face Birmingham. The odds for a Southampton win are 2.31, a Birmingham win is priced at 2.97, and a draw is at 3.36. The probability distribution is as follows: Southampton 40.56%, draw 27.89%, Birmingham 31.55%. This suggests that neither team has a clear advantage, but Southampton is slightly favored. Among the main betting lines, the over 2.5 goals bet stands out with odds of 1.90, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Southampton averages 52.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 8.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Birmingham averages 54.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 1 offside per match over the same period. Southampton's recent results are: November 29th, Millwall 3-2 Southampton, November 25th, Southampton 3-0 Leicester, November 22nd, Charlton Athletic 1-5 Southampton. Birmingham's recent results are: December 1st, Birmingham 2-1 Watford, November 26th, West Bromwich 1-1 Birmingham, November 22nd, Birmingham 4-1 Norwich City. The last head-to-head meeting on March 2, 2024, ended with Birmingham 3-4 Southampton.

Goal Statistics

Both teams show a strong over-profile in terms of goal scoring. In their last five matches, Southampton has an average total of 4.2 goals per game, scoring 3 and conceding 1.2. Birmingham averages 3.4 goals per match, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1. Both teams frequently hit the over 2.5 goals mark: Southampton in 5 out of 5 matches, Birmingham in 4 out of 5. In the first half, Southampton saw more than 1.5 goals three times out of five, Birmingham four times. In the second half, Southampton went over 1.5 goals twice, Birmingham once. Goal intervals show Southampton most often scores between 16-30 minutes (27%), while Birmingham scores most frequently between 31-45 minutes (38%). Southampton is most vulnerable to conceding between 16-30 minutes (40%), while Birmingham has four intervals at 25% each: 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes. This profile and the frequency of over 2.5 goals make a bet on over 2.5 goals logical and justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Southampton averages 5.2 corners per match in their last five games, Birmingham 3.8. The over 9.5 corners total occurred 3 times out of 5 for Southampton, and 2 out of 5 for Birmingham. The closest average total is 9 corners, suggesting considering over 9 corners at 1.55, under 9 at 2.26. Southampton is favored in the corner outcome market with odds of 1.87. Based on average delivery activity and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, the bet on over 9 corners seems justified, though the teams may end up with 9-10 deliveries.