Prediction for match Southampton — Charlton Athletic

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the English Championship on 21.02.2026, Southampton faces Charlton Athletic. The odds for a Southampton win are 1.58, a draw is at 4.05, and a Charlton Athletic win is at 5.35. The probability distribution is as follows: Southampton is estimated at 59.33%, a draw at 23.15%, and Charlton Athletic at 17.52%. Southampton is the favorite, but the probability gap suggests a competitive match, considering both teams show different profiles in attack and defense. Additionally, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.79, and for under 2.5 goals are 1.99, indicating moderate expectations for goals.

Recent Team Performances

In their last five matches, Southampton holds 48% possession, averages 2 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Charlton Athletic, over the same period, maintains 44.8% possession, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and 1 offside. Southampton's last three matches: 14.02.2026 - Southampton 2-1 Leicester, 10.02.2026 - Leicester 3-4 Southampton, 07.02.2026 - Southampton 1-0 Watford. Charlton's: 17.02.2026 - Charlton Athletic 1-3 Portsmouth, 11.02.2026 - Charlton Athletic 1-0 Stoke City, 06.02.2026 - Charlton Athletic 0-0 QPR. In their head-to-head on 22.11.2025, Charlton Athletic lost to Southampton 1-5.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Southampton averages 2 goals scored and 1 conceded, with an overall average total of 3 goals per game. Charlton's figures are more modest: 0.8 scored, 1.4 conceded, and an average of 2.2 goals. Both teams saw over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games, and under 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5. For halves, Southampton had only 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Charlton had 2 out of 5 in both halves. Southampton most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (33%), while Charlton Athletic often scores late (76-90 minutes, 63%). Southampton is most vulnerable between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (38% each), and Charlton concedes most between 31-45 minutes (60%). Considering Southampton's average scoring and Charlton's low scoring, along with under 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches for both sides, a bet on under 3.0 goals at 1.53 seems reasonable.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Southampton averages 5 corners per match, Charlton Athletic 4.2. In the last 5 games, Southampton had over 9.5 corners 3 times, Charlton 2 times. The closest total to their averages is 9.5 corners: odds for over 9.5 are 1.66, and under 9.5 are 2.09. Southampton is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.33. Based on these stats, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, given Southampton's frequent overs and the proximity to the average total.