Prediction for match Southampton — Leicester, 25.11.2025

Match Analysis: Southampton vs Leicester

In the English Championship on November 25th, Southampton will face Leicester. The odds for a Southampton win are 2.19, for Leicester 3.26, and a draw is priced at 3.30. The probability assessment is as follows: Southampton win 42.82%, draw 28.42%, Leicester win 28.76%. Based on these figures, Southampton is seen as the favorite, but the gap between the teams is not too large. There are other betting options available for the match, but the focus is on the total goals line.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Southampton has averaged 51% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Leicester averages 52.4% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In Southampton's last three matches: November 22nd - Charlton Athletic vs Southampton 1-5, November 8th - Southampton vs Sheffield Wednesday 3-1, November 5th - QPR vs Southampton 1-2. Leicester's matches: November 22nd - Leicester vs Stoke City 2-1, November 8th - Norwich City vs Leicester 1-2, November 4th - Leicester vs Middlesbrough 1-1. In their head-to-head on May 3rd, 2025, Leicester defeated Southampton 2-0, with a total under 2.5 goals.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last five matches, Southampton has gone over 2.5 goals four times, while Leicester has done so twice. Southampton's average goals scored is 2.2, conceded 1.4, with a total average of 3.6 goals. Leicester's figures are more modest: scored 1, conceded 1.2, total 2.2. By halves, Southampton has gone over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and twice in the second, while Leicester has done so once in each half. Southampton most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (29%), while Leicester scores most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%). In terms of goals conceded, Southampton often concedes between the 16th and 30th minutes (45%), whereas Leicester concedes between the 61st and 75th and the 76th and 90th minutes (33% each). Based on this data, Southampton consistently shows a high-scoring game, whereas Leicester does not always maintain a high tempo, but on average, their matches are not defensive. A bet on over 2.5 total goals seems optimal.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Southampton averages 4.4 corners per match, while Leicester averages 4.2. In their last five matches, Southampton has gone over 9.5 corners three times, while Leicester has done so twice. The odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.53, and under is 2.41. In corner betting, Southampton is favored with odds of 1.82. Based on the statistics, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems reasonable, considering the frequent occurrences for both teams and their average corner numbers.