Prediction for match Southampton — Leicester

Match Analysis: Southampton vs Leicester

In the FA Cup on February 14, 2026, Southampton will face Leicester. According to the 1X2 odds, Southampton is the favorite with odds of 1.73, a draw is offered at 3.84, and a Leicester victory is at 4.36. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Southampton - 54.13%, draw - 24.39%, Leicester - 21.48%. This reflects Southampton's advantage based on their current form and recent match results. The most likely outcome according to bookmakers is a Southampton win, but a draw is also possible considering the frequency of draws in similar matches.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last five matches, Southampton averages 49.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Leicester also holds 49.8% possession but receives only 0.8 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Southampton played as follows: 10.02.2026 Leicester 3-4 Southampton, 07.02.2026 Southampton 1-0 Watford, 31.01.2026 Stoke City 0-2 Southampton. Leicester in the same period: 10.02.2026 Leicester 3-4 Southampton, 07.02.2026 Birmingham 2-1 Leicester, 31.01.2026 Leicester 0-2 Charlton Athletic. In their last head-to-head on 10.02.2026, Leicester lost to Southampton 3-4.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Southampton's games average 2.6 goals, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8. Leicester has a higher average total of 3.4 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2. For over 2.5 goals, only 1 out of 5 Southampton matches went over, whereas Leicester had 3 out of 5 matches with three or more goals. In the first half, Southampton had over 1.5 goals only once in 5 matches, while Leicester had it 3 times. In the second half, Southampton - 2 out of 5, Leicester - 3 out of 5 for over 1.5. Southampton most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (50%), and Leicester also in the first 15 minutes (38%). Both teams most often concede towards the end: Southampton - 43% in the 76-90 minute interval, Leicester - 40% in the same interval. Considering Southampton consistently scores more than one goal per game and Leicester often concedes, a bet on Southampton's individual total over 1.5 at 1.69 seems logical. Leicester's recent defense hasn't been reliable, and Southampton consistently capitalizes on their chances.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last 5 matches, Southampton averages 5 corners, Leicester - 4.6. For over 9.5 corners, both teams had 3 out of 5 matches. Looking at the odds, over 9.5 corners is at 1.70, under 9.5 - at 2.10. For corners outcome, Southampton is the favorite with odds of 1.51. You can expect at least 9-10 corners in this match, considering both teams' attacking style and tendency for frequent set-pieces. It's also worth noting that both teams regularly earn corners thanks to active wing play and high-intensity gameplay.