Prediction for match Southampton — Millwall, 01.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

Southampton and Millwall will clash in the English Championship on January 1, 2026. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Southampton win at 1.76, a draw at 3.68, and a Millwall victory at 4.42. According to probabilities, Southampton has a 53.29% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.49%, and Millwall has a 21.22% chance. This setup confirms Southampton's status as the favorite, though a draw is also a plausible outcome according to the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Southampton has maintained 62.2% possession, received 1.6 yellow cards, committed 11.2 fouls, and been caught offside 1.8 times per game. Millwall, on the other hand, holds 47.4% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2.8 times. In their recent three matches, Southampton played as follows: 29.12.2025 - Birmingham vs. Southampton 1-1, 26.12.2025 - Oxford United vs. Southampton 2-1, 20.12.2025 - Southampton vs. Coventry 1-1. Millwall's recent games: 29.12.2025 - Millwall vs. Bristol City 2-1, 26.12.2025 - Millwall vs. Ipswich Town 0-0, 20.12.2025 - Blackburn Rovers vs. Millwall 2-0. The last head-to-head meeting was on 29.11.2025: Millwall vs. Southampton 3-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Southampton averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Millwall scores 0.8 and concedes 1.4 per game. Southampton's total match goal average is 3.0, and Millwall's is 2.2. For matches with over 2.5 goals: Southampton has exceeded this in 3 out of 5 matches, and Millwall in 2 out of 5. By halves, Southampton has had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 first halves and 3 out of 5 second halves. Millwall is similar: 2 out of 5 first halves and 3 out of 5 second halves. Southampton often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (33%), while Millwall tends to score late, between the 76th and 90th minute (50%). Conceding-wise, Southampton is vulnerable between the 16th-30th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each), and Millwall is most susceptible at the start (0-15 minutes, 40%) and end (76-90 minutes, 40%). Overall, both teams have potential for a high-scoring game, particularly in the second half. Considering the averages and over 2.5 goals trend, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.76 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In the last five matches, Southampton averages 5.2 corners, while Millwall averages 4.2. For matches with over 9.5 corners: Southampton has exceeded this in 3 out of 5 matches, and Millwall in 1 out of 5. The closest total to their averages is 9.5, with odds for over 9.5 corners at 1.57 and under 9.5 at 2.24. Southampton is favored in the corner market with odds of 1.39. Based on both teams' average activity and Southampton's frequency, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners or Southampton having more corners.