Prediction for match Spain — Bulgaria

Match Analysis: Spain vs Bulgaria

On October 14, Spain will host Bulgaria in a World Cup European qualifier. Spain enters the match as the overwhelming favorite, with a 93.64% chance of winning. The odds for a draw are 4.50%, while Bulgaria is given only a 1.85% chance of success. The betting odds reflect this class difference: Spain's victory is at 1.01, a draw at 21.00, and Bulgaria's win at 51.00. This distribution not only reflects the difference in team standings but also their current form in recent matches.

Team Statistics

In their last five matches, Spain has shown impressive scoring ability, averaging 3.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. In the same period, Bulgaria has averaged only 0.33 goals scored and 4 conceded. Recently, Spain confidently defeated Georgia 2-0 (11.10.2025) and Turkey 6-0 (07.09.2025). Conversely, Bulgaria lost to Turkey 1-6 (11.10.2025) and Georgia 0-3 (07.09.2025). In their head-to-head match on 04.09.2025, Bulgaria lost to Spain 0-3. Over their last five matches, Spain has 4 wins and 1 loss, while Bulgaria has 1 draw and 4 losses.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Spain's last five matches, over 2.5 goals were scored 4 times, while for Bulgaria it was 5 out of 5. The average total goals in Spain's matches is 4.8, and for Bulgaria, it's 4.33. On average, Spain scores 3.6 goals, while Bulgaria scores only 0.33. In terms of halves, Spain had over 1.5 goals in the first half 5 out of 5 times, while Bulgaria had it 4 times. The second half is more productive for Bulgaria: 3 times over 1.5 goals compared to Spain's 2. Spain most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%), while Bulgaria scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (40%). Spain also tends to concede in the second half - 20% in each of the four intervals after the 15th minute, while Bulgaria's peak of conceded goals is between the 46th and 60th minutes (27%).

Corners in the Match

On average, Spain earns 5.6 corners per game, while Bulgaria averages 2.33. In the last 5 matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for Spain and only once for Bulgaria. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.73, under 9.5 at 2.00. Spain is the favorite to win the corner count with odds at 1.03.