Prediction for match Sparta Praha — Karviná

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On April 5th, Sparta Praha will face Karviná in the First Liga. The odds are as follows: a win for Sparta Praha is at 1.33, a draw at 5.30, and a win for Karviná at 7.50. In terms of percentages: there's a 70.01% chance of success for Sparta Praha, a 17.57% chance of a draw, and a 12.42% chance of a win for Karviná. The odds and probabilities clearly favor Sparta Praha, but for the main prediction, it's more interesting to consider the goal totals, where the odds are higher.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sparta Praha has an average possession of 50.8%, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and records 1.2 offsides per game. Karviná holds the ball 52.6% of the time, receives 1.6 yellows, commits 10.2 fouls, and is caught offside 2.6 times per match. Recent matches for Sparta Praha: March 19, 2026 - Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar - 0-4, March 15, 2026 - Sparta Praha vs Slovácko - 5-2, March 12, 2026 - AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Praha - 2-1. For Karviná: March 15, 2026 - Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná - 2-2, March 8, 2026 - Karviná vs Pardubice - 1-2, March 1, 2026 - Karviná vs Slovácko - 0-2. In their last head-to-head on November 2, 2025, Karviná defeated Sparta Praha 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Sparta Praha has an average of 5 goals per game, scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.6. Karviná has an average total of 2.8, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2. In terms of over/under: Sparta Praha had over 2.5 goals in 5 out of 5 matches, Karviná in 3 out of 5. For first halves, Sparta Praha had over 1.5 in 2 out of 5, Karviná in 3 out of 5. In second halves, Sparta Praha had over 1.5 in all 5 matches, Karviná in 2 out of 5. Sparta Praha most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%), while Karviná scores most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%). In terms of conceding, Sparta Praha allows goals most frequently in the 16-30, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (20% each), while Karviná concedes most in the 31-45 minute interval (33%). With both teams regularly hitting the over 2.5 total, Sparta Praha's high scoring, and frequent second-half goals, betting on over 2.75 goals at 1.50 seems promising.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

Sparta Praha averages 3.6 corners over 5 matches, while Karviná averages 5.8. In their last five, Karviná had over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 matches, Sparta Praha in 2 out of 5. For a total corners bet of 9.5, the options are: over 9.5 at 1.66, under 9.5 at 2.09. With Sparta Praha being the favorite on corners at 1.21, and considering Karviná's frequent corner kicks, especially if Karviná continues their wing play, betting on over 9.5 corners is logical.