Prediction for match Sparta Rotterdam — Groningen

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the upcoming Eredivisie round on January 31, Sparta Rotterdam will face Groningen. The 1X2 odds are distributed as follows: a win for Sparta Rotterdam is priced at 2.75, a draw at 3.34, and a win for Groningen at 2.64. In terms of probability, Groningen has a 36.36% chance, Sparta Rotterdam 34.90%, and a draw 28.74%. This setup highlights the absence of a clear favorite and suggests a potentially competitive match, given the close chances for both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sparta Rotterdam has an average possession of 50.6%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Groningen, over the same period, shows 56% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 2 offsides on average. In their last three matches, Sparta Rotterdam defeated Utrecht 1-0 (25.01.2026), beat Feyenoord 4-3 (18.01.2026), and lost to Volendam 1-2 (15.01.2026). Groningen, in their last three games, lost to Fortuna Sittard 1-2 (25.01.2026), won against Heerenveen 2-0 (18.01.2026), and drew with NAC Breda 0-0 (10.01.2026). The last head-to-head meeting between the teams was on October 30, 2025, ending in a 5-2 victory for Sparta Rotterdam.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, both teams played over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. Sparta Rotterdam averages 2.8 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1 goal per game. Groningen's average total is 2, with 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. In the first half, both teams played over 1.5 goals only once, with under occurring in four matches. In the second half, Sparta Rotterdam's games went over 1.5 goals once, while Groningen's did so twice. For goal intervals, Sparta Rotterdam scores 50% of their goals between 76-90 minutes, and 38% of their conceded goals also occur in this interval. Groningen scores most frequently between 31 and 45 minutes (40%), with conceded goals evenly distributed across all intervals, at 20% each. These statistics indicate that both teams are capable of scoring, especially in the second half, and Groningen's defense is not flawless. Considering both teams have an average of over 1.0 goals scored and there is support for the totals, a bet on both teams to score seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Sparta Rotterdam averages 5 corners per game over the last five matches, while Groningen's average is significantly higher at 10.2. For the total over 9.5 corners, Sparta Rotterdam had 4 occurrences out of 5, and Groningen had 2 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (15.2) is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.20, under 10.5 at 1.55. Groningen is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.71. Given the high corner-taking activity of both teams, a bet on over 10.5 corners seems justified. Additionally, considering Groningen's average, betting on them to win the corner count is also worth considering.