Prediction for match Spartak Moscow — CSKA Moscow

Match Analysis: Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow

On May 6, 2026, a crucial clash between Spartak Moscow and CSKA Moscow will take place in the Russian Cup. According to the 1X2 odds, Spartak Moscow is the favorite: a win for the red and whites is priced at 1.76, a draw at 3.90, and a victory for the army team at 5.08. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Spartak Moscow win 55.63%, draw 25.10%, CSKA Moscow win 19.27%. This setup reflects Spartak Moscow's advantage in several parameters and their higher scoring rate in recent matches. Expect a fierce battle in this match, considering the derby status and the history of encounters between these teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five games, Spartak Moscow boasts 62.2% possession, averages 1.2 yellow cards, commits 15.2 fouls, and is caught offside twice per match. CSKA Moscow's averages are: 58% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. In their last three matches, Spartak Moscow played as follows: 01.05.2026 Krylia Sovetov - Spartak Moscow 2-1, 26.04.2026 Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow 1-2, 23.04.2026 Spartak Moscow - Krasnodar 1-2. CSKA Moscow in their last three games: 02.05.2026 CSKA Moscow - Zenit 1-3, 25.04.2026 Rubin - CSKA Moscow 0-0, 21.04.2026 CSKA Moscow - Rostov 1-1. The last head-to-head meeting between these clubs was on 22.11.2025, ending in a 1-0 victory for Spartak Moscow.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

In their last five matches, Spartak Moscow has shown a knack for scoring: 4 out of 5 games went over 2.5 total goals, with only one match going under. On the other hand, the army men had only 1 out of 5 games with over 2.5 total goals, while 4 were under. Spartak Moscow averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with an average total of 3 goals per match. CSKA Moscow's averages are lower: 0.6 goals scored, 1.2 conceded, with a total average of 1.8 goals. By halves, Spartak Moscow had 4 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and only 1 out of 5 in the second half. CSKA Moscow had only 1 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Regarding goal intervals: Spartak Moscow most frequently scores between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (38% each), and concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (43%). CSKA Moscow most often scores in three intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (33% each), and concedes most frequently from 46 to 60 minutes (33%). Given Spartak Moscow's high scoring rate and CSKA Moscow's low scoring rate, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.02 seems justified, considering the army team scores little and Spartak Moscow doesn't always capitalize on their attacking potential against a tight defense.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Both teams are identical in average corner kicks: 5.8 per match for Spartak Moscow and the same for CSKA Moscow. In the last five games, Spartak Moscow had only 1 match with over 9.5 total corners, while CSKA Moscow had 3 out of 5. When considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of average indicators (11.6) is 9.5. Available bets include over 9.5 total corners and under 9.5, but odds for this outcome are missing. Overall, both teams are capable of earning 5-6 corners per match, making a bet on over 9.5 corners logical for statistics enthusiasts. It's hard to pick a winner on corners since the average values are equal. Expect active wing play and a high number of set pieces, especially from Spartak Moscow, given their high possession rate and attacking style of play.