Prediction for match Spezia — Avellino

Match Analysis: Spezia vs Avellino

In Italy's Serie B, Spezia will face Avellino on January 24th. The odds for the match are as follows: Spezia's victory is priced at 1.98, a draw at 3.20, and Avellino's win at 4.00. According to probability percentages, Spezia has a 47.31% chance of winning, Avellino 23.42%, and a draw 29.27%. Based on this data, Spezia is the favorite, but a draw is also a possibility, given the nearly one-third chance of such an outcome. The betting line also offers odds on totals, both teams to score, and individual statistics, allowing for an interesting betting angle.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Spezia has an average possession of 54.6%, with 2.4 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Avellino averages 52.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 16 fouls, and 1 offside. Spezia's last three matches: January 18 - Palermo 1-0 Spezia, January 10 - Südtirol 2-1 Spezia, December 27 - Spezia 2-1 Pescara. Avellino's last three matches: January 17 - Avellino 1-2 Carrarese, January 10 - Avellino 2-1 Sampdoria, December 27 - Bari 1-1 Avellino. In their head-to-head match on October 25, 2025, Avellino lost to Spezia 0-4.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of totals over the last 5 matches, both teams have 3 overs on 2.5 goals and 2 unders. Spezia averages 2.4 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. Avellino has an average total of 2.6, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4. In the first half, Spezia had 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, while Avellino had 1 out of 5. In the second half, Spezia had only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, while Avellino had 3 out of 5. Goal intervals show Spezia tends to score in the first 15 minutes (29%) and concedes at the end of the first (31-45, 40%) and second halves (76-90, 40%). Avellino scores most frequently at the start of the second half (46-60, 43%) and concedes between 61-75 minutes (50%). Overall, both teams lean towards a total over 2.0, with Avellino showing activity in the second half. The odds for over 2.0 total goals are 1.51, which seems a justified choice considering the current goal and half statistics. It's also worth noting that both teams have hit the over 2.5 mark in three of their last five matches, adding weight to a high-scoring prediction.

Corner Totals Analysis

In terms of average corners over 5 games: Spezia averages 6.8, Avellino 4. For over 9.5 total corners: Spezia had 4 out of 5 games over, Avellino only 1 out of 5. The available corner totals include Over 9.5 (1.78) and Under 9.5 (1.97). Spezia's victory on corners is priced at 1.48. Considering Spezia's high average and frequent overs, a bet on over 9.5 corners makes sense. Although Avellino's average corners are lower, the combined total for both teams is close to 11, supporting interest in a corner over bet.