Prediction for match Spezia — Bari, 07.11.2025

Match Analysis: Spezia vs Bari

On November 7th, in Serie B, Spezia will face Bari. The odds for a Spezia victory are set at 1.85, a draw is at 3.40, and a Bari win is at 4.10. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Spezia 50.12%, draw 27.27%, and Bari 22.61%. Thus, Spezia is considered the favorite, but the odds for a draw and a Bari win are also quite high, reflecting some caution in assessing the chances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Spezia has an average ball possession of 47.2%, while Bari has 43%. During this period, Spezia averaged 1.2 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game, whereas Bari averaged 1.4 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Spezia played as follows: 02.11.2025 - Monza vs Spezia 1-0, 29.10.2025 - Spezia vs Padova 1-1, 25.10.2025 - Avellino vs Spezia 0-4. Bari's last three matches were: 02.11.2025 - Bari vs Cesena 1-0, 26.10.2025 - Bari vs Mantova 1-0, 18.10.2025 - Reggiana vs Bari 3-1. In their last head-to-head on 29.12.2024, Bari defeated Spezia 2-0 - the total exceeded 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five games, both teams have identical goal stats: the average number of goals per match is 2.6, with Spezia and Bari both scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Both teams have had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once in 5 matches for each side, while in the second half, it was 2 out of 5 for Spezia and 3 out of 5 for Bari. Spezia is most effective in the 76-90 minute interval (40%), while Bari has two peaks: 46-60 (33%) and 76-90 (33%). The most frequent conceded goals for Spezia are between 31-45 (33%) and 76-90 (33%), while for Bari, it's 31-45 (50%). Overall, both teams have above-average goal totals, supported by their series. Given these inputs, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.15 seems a logical choice. The average goal values and over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches for each side support this option.

Corner Totals Analysis

In the last 5 matches, Spezia averaged 4.2 corners, while Bari averaged 3.2. Spezia had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches, while Bari had it in 1 out of 5. The odds for the total corners are over 8.5 at 1.67 and under 8.5 at 2.10. In corner bets, Spezia is the favorite with odds of 1.62. Considering the difference in average corners and the frequency of over 9.5 corners for Spezia, a bet on Spezia's individual total corners over 4.5 or the overall total over 8.5 seems justified. However, Bari's low frequency of high corner totals - only 1 out of 5 - might limit the overall potential in this metric.