Prediction for match Spezia — Frosinone

Odds and Outcome Probability Percentages

In Serie B on February 15, Spezia faces Frosinone. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Frosinone is priced at 2.53, Spezia at 2.70, and a draw at 3.26. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 36.86% for a Frosinone win, 34.54% for a Spezia win, and 28.60% for a draw. Frosinone is the favorite according to the odds, but the difference between the teams is minimal, indicating fairly equal chances for victory.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Spezia has averaged 49.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 16.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Frosinone averages 48.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 18 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Spezia's last three matches were: 11.02.2026 - Bari vs Spezia - 0-0, 07.02.2026 - Spezia vs Virtus Entella - 1-1, 31.01.2026 - Sampdoria vs Spezia - 1-0. Frosinone's recent games: 11.02.2026 - Avellino vs Frosinone - 1-3, 07.02.2026 - Frosinone vs Venezia - 1-2, 31.01.2026 - Virtus Entella vs Frosinone - 1-1. Their last head-to-head was on 20.12.2025 - Frosinone vs Spezia - 2-1.

Teams' Scoring Trends

There's a noticeable difference in scoring: Spezia averages 1 goal per match, scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.6. Frosinone averages 2.8 total goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2. In the last 5 matches, Spezia never exceeded a total over 2.5, with all 5 matches going under. Conversely, Frosinone saw over 2.5 goals in 3 of their 5 games. In the first half, only 1 of Spezia's 5 matches went over 1.5 goals, while for Frosinone, it was 2 out of 5. In the second half, all 5 of Spezia's matches were under 1.5 goals, while Frosinone had 4 out of 5 over 1.5 goals. Spezia most often scores between 16-30 minutes (50%) and concedes in the same interval (100%). Frosinone frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (33%) and concedes between 76-90 minutes (38%). Given Spezia's low scoring and Frosinone's active profile, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.87 seems logical: Spezia's unders are 5 out of 5, and despite Frosinone's over-profile, low-scoring results do occur.

Corner Totals Analysis

For corners, Spezia averages 7.6 per match over 5 games, while Frosinone averages 5.8. In the last five matches, Spezia's total corners over 9.5 occurred 5 times, and Frosinone's 3 times out of 5. The line closest to their combined average (13.4) is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is priced at 3.42, under 11.5 at 1.23. Spezia is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.96. Considering Spezia's high activity in corner kicks, a bet on over 9.5 corners, which happened in 5 of the last 5 matches, seems reasonable.