Prediction for match Spezia — Modena, 13.12.2025

Match Analysis: Spezia vs Modena

In Serie B, on December 13, 2025, Spezia will face Modena. According to 1X2 odds, analysts favor Modena: their victory is priced at 2.25, a draw is at 3.10, and a win for Spezia is at 3.33. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Modena - 41.64%, draw - 30.22%, Spezia - 28.14%. This distribution reflects Modena's advantage in terms of winning probability, though a draw is not ruled out according to the current odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In a five-match series, Spezia has an average possession of 39.2%, yellow cards - 3.4, fouls - 17, offsides - 1. Modena, over the same period, shows 54.6% possession, 0.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1 offside. Spezia's last three games: December 8, 2025 - Virtus Entella vs Spezia - 0-1, November 30, 2025 - Spezia vs Sampdoria - 1-0, November 23, 2025 - Mantova vs Spezia - 4-1. Modena's: December 8, 2025 - Modena vs Catanzaro - 1-2, November 28, 2025 - Cesena vs Modena - 1-0, November 23, 2025 - Modena vs Südtirol - 0-0. In their last head-to-head on February 15, 2025, Modena and Spezia drew 1-1.

Goal Scoring Patterns

In terms of total goals, Spezia exceeded 2.5 goals only once in 5 matches, with 4 matches resulting in under. Modena, on the other hand, had 3 out of 5 matches over 2.5 goals. The average number of goals in Spezia's matches is 2, while Modena's is 2.2. Goals scored: Spezia - 0.8, Modena - 1.2, conceded - 1.2 and 1 respectively. In the first half, Spezia had 2 out of 5 games over 1.5 goals, Modena - 1 out of 5. In the second half, Spezia exceeded 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5, Modena - in 3 out of 5. By time intervals: Spezia most often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (43%) and concedes in the first 15 minutes (67%). Modena most often scores between the 0-15 and 31-45 minute marks (29% each) and concedes between the 76th and 90th minute (40%). Considering Modena's more pronounced over-profile in goals and higher average scoring rate, while Spezia has low scoring but a not-so-reliable defense, it's logical to consider a bet on Modena's individual total over 1 at 1.56.

Corners in the Match

For the average number of corners over 5 games, Spezia has 3.2, Modena has 6.4. For the frequency of total corners over 9.5: both teams had 4 out of 5 matches over. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (9.6) is 9.5: total corners over 9.5 - 2.05, under 9.5 - 1.67. In terms of corner outcomes, Modena is favored with odds of 1.90. With such statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on total corners over 9.5, given the high average performance in this component by both teams.