Prediction for match Spezia — Sampdoria, 30.11.2025

Match Analysis: Spezia vs Sampdoria

On November 30th, Spezia will face Sampdoria in Serie B. The odds for a Spezia victory are 2.37, a draw is at 3.06, and a Sampdoria win is at 3.14. In terms of percentages, Spezia's chances are 39.54%, a draw is 30.62%, and Sampdoria's chances are 29.84%. Spezia is slightly favored, but the gap between the teams is minimal, and the probability of a draw is quite high.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Spezia has an average possession of 39.2%, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 16.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Sampdoria holds the ball 52% of the time, gets 1.8 yellow cards, commits 14.2 fouls, and is offside 1.4 times. Spezia's last three matches: November 23rd, Mantova 4-1 Spezia, November 7th, Spezia 1-1 Bari, November 2nd, Monza 1-0 Spezia. Sampdoria's recent games: November 24th, Sampdoria 1-0 Juve Stabia, November 8th, Venezia 3-1 Sampdoria, November 2nd, Sampdoria 0-1 Mantova. In their last head-to-head on August 18th, Spezia and Sampdoria drew 1-1, with under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Spezia has an average total of 2.8 goals, while Sampdoria has 2. Spezia scores 1.4 and concedes 1.4, Sampdoria scores 0.8 and concedes 1.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Spezia and 1 out of 5 for Sampdoria. By halves: Spezia had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 first and second halves, Sampdoria in 1 out of 5 first halves and 2 out of 5 second halves. By intervals: Spezia most frequently scores between 31-45 (29%), 46-60 (29%), and 76-90 (29%), Sampdoria between 76-90 (33%). Both teams concede mostly towards the end: Spezia 43% of goals in 76-90, Sampdoria 50% in this period. Given Sampdoria's low scoring and the not very frequent over 2.5 goals for both, a bet on both teams not to score at 1.77 seems logical.

Betting on Corners

On average, Spezia takes 3.2 corners per match, while Sampdoria takes 6.2. In the last five matches, over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times for Spezia and 2 times for Sampdoria. The closest total to the average corners (9.4) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.03, under 9.5 at 1.65. In the corners outcome line, the favorite is Spezia at 1.85. A cautious bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering Sampdoria's high average and frequent occurrences for Spezia.