Prediction for match Sport Recife — Atletico Mineiro, 08.11.2025

Who is the favorite in the Sport Recife vs. Atletico Mineiro match?

In Brazil's Serie A on November 8, 2025, Sport Recife will face Atletico Mineiro. The odds for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: a win for Atletico Mineiro is at 2.15, a draw is at 3.10, and a victory for Sport Recife is at 3.70. According to the percentage distribution, Atletico Mineiro has a 43.96% chance of winning, a draw has a 30.49% probability, and Sport Recife's victory is at 25.55%. Atletico Mineiro is the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but a draw also has significant backing from the bookmakers.

Team results and statistics

Over the last 5 matches, Sport Recife shows average values: 49% ball possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per match. For the same period, Atletico Mineiro has 46.2% possession, 3 yellow cards, 8 fouls, and 2 offsides. In the last three matches, Sport Recife: November 5 - Sport Recife vs. Juventude 0-2, November 2 - Flamengo vs. Sport Recife 3-0, October 25 - Sport Recife vs. Mirassol 1-2. For Atletico Mineiro: November 5 - Atletico Mineiro vs. Bahia 3-0, November 2 - Internacional vs. Atletico Mineiro 0-0, October 29 - Atletico Mineiro vs. Independiente del Valle 3-1. In their head-to-head on October 8, 2025, Atletico Mineiro defeated Sport Recife 3-1, with the total over 2.5 being surpassed.

How many goals to expect?

Considering goal scoring, in the last 5 matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once in 5 matches for both teams, and in the second half, it happened twice in 5 matches. Average figures: Sport Recife 2.4 goals per match, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2, Atletico Mineiro 2 goals per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.4. By halves: Sport Recife has the highest chance of scoring between the 46-60 and 61-75 minute marks (29% each), and they concede most often at the end (76-90 minutes, 40%). Atletico Mineiro's scoring peak is between the 61-75 minute mark (38%), while they concede mostly between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (50% each). The statistics suggest moderate scoring with a tendency towards cautious play, especially considering Sport Recife's low scoring rate. A bet on under 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.65, looks like an optimal choice.

How many corners will there be?

Based on the average corner statistics over a five-match series: Sport Recife takes 6 per game, Atletico Mineiro 5.2. In the last 5 matches, Sport Recife exceeded a total of 9.5 corners only once, while Atletico Mineiro did so in 2 out of 5. The odds for more than 10 corners are 1.88, less than 10 is 1.92; for over 10.5, it's 2.10, and under 10.5 is 1.67. Sport Recife is considered the favorite for total corners, with odds of 1.80. Considering the average activity of both teams and the rare occurrence of high totals, a bet on under 10.5 corners with odds of 1.67 seems justified.