Prediction for match Sport Recife — Flamengo, 15.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Serie A clash between Sport Recife and Flamengo on November 15, 2025, the odds clearly favor Flamengo as the outright favorite. Flamengo's win is priced at 1.27, a draw at 5.50, and a victory for Sport Recife is at 12.00. Looking at probabilities: Sport Recife has a 7.92% chance, a draw is at 17.27%, and Flamengo stands at 74.81%. This skew indicates strong confidence in the visitors, supported by their recent results and current form.

Team Results and Statistics

Analyzing the last five matches, Sport Recife averages 43.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Flamengo shows a much higher ball control with 61.6%, averaging 2 cautions, 12.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Sport Recife: 2-4 against Atletico Mineiro (08.11.2025), 0-2 with Juventude (05.11.2025), 0-3 against Flamengo (02.11.2025). Flamengo's recent games: 3-2 against Santos (09.11.2025), 2-2 with Sao Paulo (06.11.2025), 3-0 over Sport Recife (02.11.2025). In their recent head-to-head on November 2, Flamengo thrashed Sport Recife 3-0, with over 2.5 goals recorded.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Looking at goal trends over the last five matches, Sport Recife has an average of 3.2 total goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.6. Flamengo averages 2.6 total goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1. In the last five matches, both teams have featured over 2.5 goals three times, but Sport Recife has only once surpassed 1.5 goals in the first half, the same for Flamengo. In the second half, Flamengo has surpassed 1.5 goals three times, Sport Recife twice. Sport Recife most often scores between the 61st and 75th minute (38%) but concedes between the 76th and 90th (38%). Flamengo is most prolific between the 46th and 60th minute (30%) and concedes between the 76th and 90th (50%). Given Sport Recife's low scoring and Flamengo's defensive edge, betting on both teams not to score seems justified. The odds for BTTS: No is 1.50.

Corner Betting

Flamengo consistently leads in corners: in the last five matches, they average 7.2, while Sport Recife averages 5.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Flamengo is 4 out of 5, and for Sport Recife, it's only 1 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.50, under is 2.50. In corner outcomes, Flamengo is favored with odds of 1.36. Based on the statistics, betting on over 9.5 corners seems a logical choice, considering Flamengo's consistency in this aspect.