Prediction for match Sport Recife — Vila Nova

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie B on April 1, Sport Recife will face Vila Nova. Bookmakers have set the odds at 1.82 for a Sport Recife victory, 3.30 for a draw, and 4.54 for Vila Nova's success. The estimated probabilities are 51.22% for a Sport Recife win, 28.25% for a draw, and 20.53% for a Vila Nova victory. This makes Sport Recife the favorite according to the odds, but the percentage gap between a draw and a Vila Nova win is not too large, adding intrigue to the upcoming match. The betting line also includes options for totals, both teams to score, and individual performances, allowing for bets to fit any strategy.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Sport Recife drew 0-0 with Cuiabá (21.03.2026), lost 1-3 to Athletico (18.03.2026), and were defeated 0-4 by Grêmio (07.12.2025). During the same period, Vila Nova drew 2-2 with CRB (21.03.2026), lost 3-5 to Confiança (18.03.2026), and drew 2-2 with Volta Redonda (19.11.2025). Looking at head-to-head encounters, the last one took place on August 17, 2024, when Vila Nova defeated Sport Recife 2-0. Over a five-match series, Sport Recife averages 50.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Vila Nova averages 44.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. These figures indicate that both teams engage in physical play and frequently commit fouls, with Vila Nova receiving more cautions.

Goal Scoring Trends

In terms of scoring over a five-match series, Sport Recife has an average total of 2.6 goals per match, scoring only 0.2 while conceding 2.4. Vila Nova averages a total of 2.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. Over the last 5 games, both teams have had Over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. By halves, Sport Recife has Over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5, but only 1 out of 5 in the second half. Vila Nova has Over 1.5 in the first half in just 1 out of 5, but 2 out of 5 in the second half. In terms of goal intervals: Sport Recife most frequently scores and concedes between 31-45 minutes (43% and 29%, respectively). Vila Nova scores most often between 31-45 (29%) and 46-60 minutes (29%), while conceding most frequently in the final 76-90 minutes (33%). All this suggests a tendency for both teams to be involved in high-scoring matches, especially considering the Over 2.5 goals occurrence and average totals of 2.6-2.8. Given this, a bet on Over 2.0 goals at 1.66 seems logical: both teams regularly participate in matches with 2 or more goals, with Over 2.5 goals occurring 3 times out of 5 for both teams.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In terms of corners over the last 5 matches, Sport Recife averages 3.2, while Vila Nova averages 4.8. For the total corners_over_9_5, Sport Recife has Over in 2 out of 5, while Vila Nova has Over in 4 out of 5. Adding these averages gives 8 corners per game. Among the presented totals for corners, the line closest to this sum is 8.5. For the total corners of 8.5, the odds are: Over 8.5 - 1.32, Under 8.5 - 2.91. For the outcome on corners, Sport Recife is the favorite with odds of 1.14. Overall, Vila Nova more frequently reaches high corner totals, while Sport Recife has not reached 4 corners per game in recent matches. Based on this, a bet on Over 8.5 corners appears justified, especially considering Vila Nova's frequency of exceeding this mark.