Prediction for match Sport Recife — Vitoria, 23.11.2025

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Vitoria

On November 23, in Brazil's Serie A, Sport Recife will face Vitoria. The odds for a Vitoria win are 2.11, a draw is at 3.44, and a Sport Recife victory is at 3.60. According to the percentages, Vitoria has a 45.47% chance of success, a draw is at 27.89%, and Sport Recife's chances are estimated at 26.65%. Vitoria appears to be the favorite, but the odds for a draw are also significant, as reflected in the betting lines. Overall, the balance of power is tilted towards Vitoria, but neither side holds a decisive advantage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sport Recife averaged 36.4% ball possession, received 3 yellow cards, committed 12 fouls, and had 2.4 offsides per game. Vitoria had higher possession at 42.2%, with 3.6 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Recent matches for Sport Recife: on 18/11, Botafogo defeated Sport Recife 3-2, on 15/11, Sport Recife lost to Flamengo 1-5, and on 08/11, Sport Recife was beaten by Atletico Mineiro 2-4. For Vitoria: on 19/11, they drew 0-0 with Palmeiras, on 09/11, they drew 0-0 with Botafogo, and on 05/11, they won 1-0 against Internacional. In their head-to-head on 24/07/2025, Vitoria and Sport Recife drew 2-2, with the match going over 2.5 total goals.

Goals and Match Statistics

Sport Recife has an average total of 4.4 goals per match, scoring 1 and conceding 3.4. Vitoria is more modest with an average of 1.2 goals, scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.8. Sport Recife had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of their last 5 matches, while Vitoria had only 1 out of 5. By halves, Sport Recife had 2 out of 5 matches with two or more goals in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second. Vitoria is noticeably weaker in these aspects: 1 out of 5 in the first half and 0 out of 5 in the second. Sport Recife most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (33%), while Vitoria spreads its goals across four 25% intervals. For goals conceded, 38% of Sport Recife's come between the 61st and 75th minutes, while Vitoria concedes half of their goals between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes. Given Sport Recife's high scoring and frequent high-scoring games, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.99 seems reasonable, despite Vitoria's low attacking output. Sport Recife's weak defense, which concedes an average of 3.4 goals per game, could offset Vitoria's modest offensive stats.

Corner Totals Analysis

For corners, Sport Recife averages 5 over 5 matches, while Vitoria averages 4.2. For over 9.5 corners, Sport Recife has 3 out of 5 matches, and Vitoria has 2 out of 5. The odds for total corners: over 9 is 1.49, under 9 is 2.44. In corner outcomes, Sport Recife is favored with odds of 1.83. Based on average corner productivity and the frequency of over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 9 corners at 1.49 might appeal to fans of statistical markets.