Prediction for match Sporting CP — Estrela, 30.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga on November 30, Sporting CP will face Estrela. Sporting CP is considered the favorite: odds for their victory are 1.10, a draw is at 11.30, and Estrela's win is priced at 30.00. The probability percentages are 88.18% for a Sporting CP win, 8.58% for a draw, and 3.23% for an Estrela victory. These odds and probabilities reflect the clear advantage Sporting CP has in this matchup. The tournament match will take place within the Portuguese championship, and according to bookmakers, the outcome seems almost certain.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sporting CP shows high ball possession at 60.4%, averages 2 cautions, 11 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Estrela maintains 55% possession, receives 3 yellow cards, commits 15 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per match. In their last 3 games, Sporting CP defeated Club Brugge 3-0 (26.11.2025), won against Santa Clara 2-1 (08.11.2025), and drew with Juventus 1-1 (04.11.2025). Estrela drew 1-1 with Nacional (09.11.2025), beat Casa Pia 5-3 (01.11.2025), and lost to Rio Ave 1-2 (25.10.2025). The last direct encounter was on March 29, 2025: Estrela - Sporting CP 0-3, with the total over 2.5 goals confirmed.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In the last five games, Sporting CP went over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Estrela also played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. In the first half, both teams had at least two goals in 3 out of 5 matches, and in the second half, 2 out of 5. The average figures for 5 matches: Sporting CP scores 2.6 goals per game, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. Estrela's average total is 3.6, with 2 scored and 1.6 conceded. By intervals: Sporting CP most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (43%), while Estrela scores between the 31st and 45th minute (36%). In terms of conceding: Sporting CP is most vulnerable from the 76th to 90th minute (33%), Estrela from the 31st to 45th and 61st to 75th (38% each). This structure of goal events and the stable scoring of both teams make the bet on both teams to score: no at 1.51 interesting, considering Sporting CP's low conceding rate and the fact that Estrela failed to go over 2.5 goals twice in the last 5 matches, and both teams rarely play a high-scoring second half.

Corners in the Match

On corners, Sporting CP averages 6.8 per match over 5 games, while Estrela averages 4.2. In the last 5 matches, Sporting CP saw the total corners exceed 9.5 three times, while Estrela did so twice. The closest to the average total (11) option is the total corners over 10.5 at 2.03 and under 10.5 at 1.94. In the corners market, Sporting CP is the favorite with odds of 1.06. Given the activity on deliveries, it's logical to consider total corners over 10.5 or Sporting CP's individual total on corners, and also note that Estrela doesn't consistently reach high figures in this component. In 5 matches, Estrela only exceeded 9.5 total corners twice.