Prediction for match Sporting CP — Marseille, 22.10.2025

Match Analysis: Sporting CP vs Marseille

On October 22, Sporting CP will face Marseille in the UEFA Champions League. The odds for a Sporting CP win are 2.15, while a victory for Marseille is at 3.10, and a draw is priced at 3.70. Looking at the probabilities, Sporting CP has a 43.96% chance of winning, Marseille has a 30.49% chance, and a draw stands at 25.55%. The odds suggest Sporting CP is the favorite, but the gap is not significant, indicating a potentially close contest.

Team Form

In their last five matches, Sporting CP has shown consistent and effective play, averaging 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, with a total goal average of 2.8 per match. They average 5.2 corners, 56% possession, and 2.2 yellow cards per game. Recent results include a 1-1 draw with Braga (05.10.2025) and a 4-1 win over Kairat Almaty (18.09.2025). Marseille, on the other hand, has been even more productive, with an average of 3.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, and a total goal average of 3.8. They deliver 3 corners per game, with 55.2% possession and 2.2 yellow cards. Recent matches include a 6-2 win over Le Havre (18.10.2025) and a 4-0 victory against Ajax (30.09.2025). In head-to-head encounters: Marseille won 2-0 (12.10.2022) and 4-1 (04.10.2022).

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have been in high-scoring form over their last five matches. Sporting CP's games went over 2.5 goals 3 times, while Marseille had 4 out of 5 matches go over this line. Average goals per game: Sporting CP 2.8, Marseille 3.8. In the first half, Sporting CP had over 1.5 goals once, while Marseille had it twice. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. Goal intervals show Sporting CP most frequently scores and concedes between 76-90 minutes (36% and 50%, respectively), while Marseille also peaks in this period (31% scored and 57% conceded). This highlights a trend of late-game activity.

Corners in the Match

Sporting CP averages 5.2 corners over their last 5 matches, while Marseille averages 3. In Sporting CP's last five games, the total corners exceeded 9.5 in 3 instances, whereas Marseille had none. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.90, and under 9.5 is also at 1.90. Sporting CP is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.91.