Prediction for match Sporting Gijon — Eibar, 16.11.2025

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the upcoming Segunda round on November 16, Sporting Gijon will face Eibar. The odds for a Sporting Gijon win are 2.20, a draw is at 3.10, and an Eibar victory is priced at 3.50. According to models, the probabilities are distributed as follows: Sporting Gijon 42.77%, draw 30.35%, Eibar 26.88%. Sporting has a slight edge, but the high percentage for a draw suggests a potentially tight contest.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sporting Gijon has an average possession of 39.4%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and is caught offside 2.2 times per game. Eibar, on the other hand, has 55.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Recent results for Sporting Gijon: 07.11 Mirandes - Sporting Gijon 2-1, 02.11 Sporting Gijon - Las Palmas 0-0, 26.10 Sporting Gijon - Real Zaragoza 1-0. Eibar: 08.11 Eibar - Albacete 3-2, 01.11 Almeria - Eibar 3-1, 25.10 Eibar - Leganes 0-0. The last head-to-head meeting was on 08.02.2025 and ended 0-0, with under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have gone over 2.5 goals three times, meaning it happened in 3 out of 5. In the first halves, only once did both sides exceed over 1.5 goals, but in the second halves, Sporting had three occurrences out of five, while Eibar had two. Sporting Gijon averages 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded, while Eibar scores 1.0 and concedes 1.6. Average total: 2.4 for Sporting, 2.6 for Eibar. Sporting Gijon most frequently scores between the 16-30 and 76-90 minute marks (29% each), while Eibar scores most often between 61-75 minutes (33%). In terms of goals conceded, Sporting's distribution is even across five intervals, whereas Eibar's is spread over four intervals (25% each). Both teams tend to score late goals, as evidenced by frequent second-half goals. Considering both Sporting and Eibar have seen over 2.5 goals in three out of five matches, and given the high-scoring intervals towards the end, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.30 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Eibar significantly surpasses their opponent in corners per game: 4.8 compared to Sporting's 2.6. For the frequency of going over 9.5 corners, Sporting did so 2 out of 5 times, while Eibar only once out of 5. The line for over 9.5 corners is at 1.91, under 9.5 is at 1.80. In the corner outcome line, Sporting Gijon is favored with odds of 1.95. Given the differences in average statistics, a bet on Eibar's individual total corners over 4.5 or the overall total over 9.5 looks logical, especially if the game emphasizes second-half attacks. Additionally, Eibar frequently takes more corners, and Sporting Gijon could increase their count only with a high tempo and plenty of attacking phases in the second half.