Prediction for match St. Mirren — Aberdeen

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Scottish Premiership on April 4th, St. Mirren will face Aberdeen. The odds for a St. Mirren victory are set at 2.13, while both a draw and an Aberdeen win are priced at 3.34. The probability assessment gives St. Mirren a 43.95% chance, with a draw and an Aberdeen win both at 28.03%. St. Mirren holds a slight edge in the odds, but the percentage distribution indicates no clear dominance by either side. This is reflected in the equal odds for a draw and an Aberdeen win, adding intrigue to the upcoming match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, St. Mirren defeated Falkirk 2-1, lost to Rangers 0-1, and were beaten by Dundee United 1-2. Aberdeen, in their last three encounters, lost to Rangers 1-4, drew with Falkirk 1-1, and were defeated by Dunfermline 0-3. Over a five-match series, St. Mirren averages 43.2% possession, commits 13.2 fouls, receives 1.6 yellow cards, and records 1.8 offsides per game. Aberdeen's averages are 43.4% possession, 15.6 fouls, 2.4 yellow cards, and 1.2 offsides. The last meeting between the teams was on December 3, 2025, and ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match span, both teams have an average of 2.8 goals per game. St. Mirren scores an average of 0.8 and concedes 2, while Aberdeen scores 0.6 and concedes 2.2. For over 2.5 total goals: both teams have had 3 out of 5 matches end with three or more goals. For over 1.5 total goals in the first half: both St. Mirren and Aberdeen have 2 out of 5 matches going over, and similarly, 2 out of 5 in the second half for over 1.5. St. Mirren frequently scores in the 0-15 and 76-90 minute intervals (50% each), while Aberdeen scores most often in the 16-30 and 61-75 minute intervals (30% each). St. Mirren tends to concede most in the 46-60 minute interval (30%), while Aberdeen concedes evenly across four intervals: 0-15, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 (25% each). Neither team is highly prolific in attack, but the overall profile leans towards the higher end, considering the average values and frequency of over 2.5 goals. The most logical bet appears to be on over 2.5 total goals at 1.88, as this outcome is supported by both average goal metrics and recent match frequencies.

Betting on Corners

St. Mirren averages 3.2 corners per match, while Aberdeen averages 4.8. In a five-game series, both teams have seen 4 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 total corners. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of average values (8) is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.85, and under 9.5 is 1.85. Given the frequency of over 9.5 occurrences, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 total corners. Additionally, both teams regularly earn corners, which could lead to a high number of corner kicks.