Prediction for match St. Mirren — Hearts, 03.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages

In the Scottish Premiership, St. Mirren will face Hearts on February 3rd. According to the 1X2 odds, Hearts are the favorites: a win for them is priced at 1.81, a draw at 3.48, and a win for St. Mirren at 4.42. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Hearts - 51.82%, draw - 26.95%, St. Mirren - 21.22%. These figures highlight Hearts' significant advantage, who have been consistently picking up points in recent matches and showing a higher level of play compared to their opponents. St. Mirren, on the other hand, have significantly lower chances of winning, as confirmed not only by the odds but also by the recent match statistics between these teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, St. Mirren has an average possession of 45.4%, commits 12.4 fouls, 2.4 offsides, and receives 2 yellow cards per game. Hearts, over the same period, average 55.2% possession, 10 fouls, 1.2 offsides, and 0.8 yellow cards. St. Mirren's last three matches: 31.01.2026 - St. Mirren vs Dundee FC - 0-0, 20.01.2026 - Livingston vs St. Mirren - 1-1, 14.01.2026 - Hearts vs St. Mirren - 2-0. Hearts' last three matches: 31.01.2026 - Dundee United vs Hearts - 0-3, 25.01.2026 - Hearts vs Celtic - 2-2, 14.01.2026 - Hearts vs St. Mirren - 2-0. In their last head-to-head on 14.01.2026, Hearts defeated St. Mirren 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, St. Mirren hasn't had any games with over 2.5 goals, with all five matches going under. Hearts have had the total over 2.5 goals twice, and under three times. St. Mirren averages just 0.2 goals scored per game, conceding 1.4, with a total match average of 1.6 goals. Hearts have higher averages: 1.8 goals scored, 0.4 conceded, and 2.2 goals per match. By halves, St. Mirren hasn't had any games with over 1.5 goals in the first half, but three times in the second half. Hearts had over 1.5 goals in the first half once, and twice in the second. In terms of goal intervals, St. Mirren most often scores between 46-60 minutes (60%), and concedes evenly in the intervals 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Hearts most frequently score in the second half: 40% of goals between 46-60 and 40% between 76-90, while they mostly concede in the first 30 minutes (33% in both 0-15 and 16-30 intervals). Overall, St. Mirren's low scoring rate and Hearts' solid defense make a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.79 a logical choice.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

St. Mirren averages 5.2 corners over the last five matches, while Hearts average 4.4. For the total over 9.5 corners, St. Mirren has three out of five, and Hearts two out of five. Based on the sum of the averages (9.6), the closest total is 9.5. For this line, the odds are not specified for either over or under 9.5 corners. Based on recent game dynamics, both teams are capable of earning corners, but there's no clear bias towards one team. On average, we can expect around 9-10 corners per match, as confirmed by recent match statistics. It's logical to consider a bet on the total corners closer to 9.5, given the frequency for both teams and their average figures.