Prediction for match St. Mirren — Motherwell

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Scottish Premiership on 21.02.2026, St. Mirren will face Motherwell. The odds for a Motherwell win are 2.42, for St. Mirren's success 2.91, and a draw is at 3.22. The probability percentages are as follows: St. Mirren is rated at 32.19%, a draw at 29.09%, and Motherwell at 38.71%. These figures suggest that Motherwell is the favorite, but the difference in chances is not significant, promising a tight contest.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, St. Mirren had an average possession of 44.4%, received 2 yellow cards, committed 15.4 fouls, and was caught offside 2.8 times per game. Motherwell, in the same period, had 58.25% possession, received 0.75 yellow cards, committed 14 fouls, and was caught offside 0.75 times. In their last three matches, St. Mirren played as follows: 14.02.2026 Hibernian - St. Mirren 2-0, 11.02.2026 Kilmarnock - St. Mirren 4-3, 03.02.2026 St. Mirren - Hearts 1-0. Motherwell's last three results: 18.02.2026 Aberdeen - Motherwell 2-0, 15.02.2026 Motherwell - Aberdeen 2-0, 11.02.2026 Motherwell - Rangers 1-1. The last head-to-head meeting was on 03.01.2026: Motherwell - St. Mirren 2-0.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the St. Mirren - Motherwell Match

In the five-match series, St. Mirren averages 2.4 goals per game, and Motherwell 2.5. St. Mirren scores 1 goal and concedes 1.4, while Motherwell shows strong offense with 2.25 goals scored and only 0.25 conceded. In the last five matches, both teams went over 2.5 goals only once, with the rest being under. The over 2.5 total has hit 1 out of 5 times for both teams, and the under 2.5 total 4 out of 5 times. In the first half, St. Mirren went over 1.5 goals 1 out of 5 times, Motherwell 2 out of 5. In the second half, St. Mirren went over 1.5 goals 2 out of 5 times, Motherwell only 1 out of 5. St. Mirren most frequently scores between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (38% each), and concedes most often at the end (76-90 minutes, 50%). Motherwell scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (33%) and concedes early (0-15 minutes, 67%). Given the low frequency of over 2.5 totals and consistent unders for both teams, betting on under 2.5 goals seems most logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

St. Mirren averages 5.8 corners in the last five matches, while Motherwell averages 4.5. For the over 9.5 corners total, St. Mirren has hit 3 out of 5 times, and Motherwell 2 out of 5. The total closest to the average combined corners (10.3) is 10.5, with odds of: over 10.5 corners - 2.08, under 10.5 - 1.65. St. Mirren is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.97. Statistically, both teams are capable of earning a good number of corners, but St. Mirren consistently delivers more, which could influence the final number of corners.