Prediction for match St. Truiden — Union Saint-Gilloise

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Jupiler Pro League on March 22, St. Truiden will face Union Saint-Gilloise. According to the 1X2 odds, Union Saint-Gilloise are the favorites with odds of 2.16 for a win, a draw is priced at 3.07, and a victory for St. Truiden is at 3.86. Looking at the probability distribution, St. Truiden have a 24.73% chance, a draw is at 31.09%, and Union Saint-Gilloise have a 44.19% chance. This suggests a slight edge for Union Saint-Gilloise, but a draw is also highly rated by the bookmakers. The over/under goals market is quite balanced: over 2.5 goals is at 1.95, and under is at 1.88. For both teams to score, 'yes' is at 1.70, and 'no' is at 2.04. This reflects an expectation of goals from both sides, though with some caution regarding a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, St. Truiden played as follows: 15.03.2026 Genk - St. Truiden 1-0, 08.03.2026 St. Truiden - Cercle Brugge 2-1, 28.02.2026 Royal Antwerp - St. Truiden 1-0. During the same period, Union Saint-Gilloise had the following results: 14.03.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise - Dender 2-0, 07.03.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise - Genk 2-1, 01.03.2026 Westerlo - Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0. In their last head-to-head, on 26.10.2025, Union Saint-Gilloise defeated St. Truiden 2-0. Looking at additional statistics over the last five matches, St. Truiden had an average possession of 63%, received 0.8 yellow cards, committed 8.2 fouls, and were caught offside 1.4 times per game. Union Saint-Gilloise averaged 56.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 3.8 offsides per match. These figures highlight a difference in style: St. Truiden prefers to control the ball, while Union Saint-Gilloise plays more aggressively and physically.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five games, St. Truiden averaged 3 goals per match, while Union Saint-Gilloise averaged 2. St. Truiden scores 1.8 and concedes 1.2, whereas Union Saint-Gilloise scores 1.4 and concedes 0.6, respectively. St. Truiden had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, Union Saint-Gilloise in 2 out of 5. In the first half, St. Truiden had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, while Union Saint-Gilloise had none. In the second half, St. Truiden had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Union Saint-Gilloise in 3 out of 5. Analyzing goal intervals, St. Truiden scores most frequently between 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Union Saint-Gilloise scores between 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (29% each). St. Truiden concedes most often between 16-30 minutes (43%), and Union Saint-Gilloise concedes in the second half (46-90 minutes - 33% for each segment). All this indicates a high likelihood of both teams scoring: both regularly find the net, have active intervals, and average goals scored are above 1. A goalless match seems unlikely, and a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.70 seems reasonable.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

St. Truiden averages 7 corners per match, while Union Saint-Gilloise averages 5.6. St. Truiden had over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 matches, Union Saint-Gilloise in 2 out of 5. Considering the total corners, for the line of 9.5, there are options for both: over 9.5 is at 1.83, under is at 1.85. Union Saint-Gilloise is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.80. Given the average total corners (12.6 between both teams), a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Individual performance can also be considered: St. Truiden consistently delivers more than 6 corners, supported by their over totals.