Prediction for match Brest — Metz, 23.11.2025

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Ligue 1 on November 23, Brest will face Metz. The odds for a Brest victory are 1.82, a draw is at 3.88, and a win for Metz is at 4.82. According to probabilities, Brest's victory is rated at 54.15%, a draw at 25.40%, and Metz's win at 20.45%. This setup positions Brest as the favorite for the match. Notably, the double chance for 1X is at 1.22, while X2 is at 2.10. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.89, and under is 2.06. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.73, no at 2.02. This reflects an expectation of an open game where both sides are likely to find the net.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Brest has an average possession of 43.2%, commits 13.2 fouls, receives 1.6 yellow cards, and is caught offside 1.4 times. Metz appears slightly more active with 49.2% possession, 11.6 fouls, 2 warnings, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Brest: November 8 - Marseille 3-0 Brest; November 2 - Brest 0-0 Lyon; October 29 - Le Havre 1-0 Brest. Metz: November 9 - Metz 2-1 Nice; November 2 - Nantes 0-2 Metz; October 29 - Metz 2-0 Lens. In their recent head-to-head on April 7, 2024, Brest and Metz played to a 4-3 result, with over 2.5 goals confirmed.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In their last five matches, both teams have played over 2.5 goals three times. Brest has 3 out of 5 over 2.5, and Metz similarly has 3 out of 5. By halves: Brest has over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 out of 5 times, Metz 2 out of 5. In the second half, Metz has over 1.5 goals in all 5 games, Brest 2 out of 5. On average, Brest scores 0.6 and concedes 2, while Metz scores 1.4 and concedes 2.2. This confirms a trend towards high-scoring matches. Metz most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), while Brest peaks at 46-60 (25%) and 76-90 (25%). For goals conceded: Brest most often between 31-45 (50%), Metz between 76-90 (75%). Given this data, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Brest averages 3.8 corners per match, Metz 4.4. In the last five games, Brest only exceeded the total of 9.5 corners once, Metz twice. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.00, under is 1.98. Among corner outcomes, Brest is favored with odds of 1.41. Based on average activity in corner deliveries, it's logical to consider over 8.5 corners at 1.61 or a Brest win on corners for a safer bet.