Prediction for match Standard Liege — Union Saint-Gilloise

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Jupiler Pro League continues to offer intriguing matchups, and the clash between Standard Liege and Union Saint-Gilloise on February 14, 2026, is one of them. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Union Saint-Gilloise win at 1.69, draw at 3.68, Standard Liege win at 5.42. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Union Saint-Gilloise win - 56.46%, draw - 25.93%, Standard Liege win - 17.61%. The favorite is quite clearly defined, and the lines for totals and both teams to score suggest a cautious game, where goal-scoring might be limited. The under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.70, while over 2.5 is at 2.17, further emphasizing the expectation of a low-scoring affair.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Standard Liege has an average possession of 43%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per game. Union Saint-Gilloise, over the same period, holds 42.2% possession, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 11.6 fouls, and is caught offside 2.6 times. Standard Liege's last three games: 08.02.2026 Club Brugge - Standard Liege 3-0, 01.02.2026 Standard Liege - Anderlecht 2-0, 23.01.2026 Standard Liege - Gent 0-4. Union Saint-Gilloise played as follows: 08.02.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise - RAAL La Louvière 2-1, 01.02.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge 1-0, 28.01.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise - Atalanta 1-0. In their head-to-head on 16.08.2025, Union Saint-Gilloise was stronger with a 3-0 win over Standard Liege. Overall, the teams show different dynamics: Standard Liege struggles defensively, while Union Saint-Gilloise often plays pragmatically.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Standard Liege has an average total of 2.8 goals, scoring only 0.6 and conceding 2.2 per game. Union Saint-Gilloise has an average total of 1.4, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.6. For matches going over 2.5 goals: Standard Liege has 3 out of 5, Union Saint-Gilloise has 1 out of 5. In the first half, Standard Liege has 4 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, while Union Saint-Gilloise has 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals. By intervals: Standard Liege most frequently scores between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (38% each), and concedes in the same minutes and towards the end (31-45 and 76-90 - 33% each). Union Saint-Gilloise scores most frequently in the intervals 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 (29% each), and concedes exclusively in the first 15 minutes (100%). Given the low scoring from both sides and frequent unders from Union Saint-Gilloise, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.70 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Standard Liege averages 5.4 corners per match, Union Saint-Gilloise - 4.8. In the last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times out of 5 for both teams. For corner totals, the line of 9.5 offers both options: over 9.5 corners - 2.10, under 9.5 - 1.68. Given the dynamics, both teams are capable of providing a sufficient number of set pieces, making a bet on over 9.5 corners an interesting additional choice. Overall, an active game in terms of corners can be expected, especially if one team needs to catch up.